Ensemble

Dataset: wisconsin

Models

Model Narratives

anthropic

Round ID: 59
Prompt used:
	Classify a planet as Fylaran if it meets the following criteria:
	
	1. Orbital and Magnetic Characteristics:
	- Mean orbital radius between 2.7 and 3.2
	- Magnetosphere extent greater than 4.5
	- Magnetosphere extent error less than 2.0
	
	2. Surface and Structural Parameters:
	- Surface roughness between 300 and 550
	- Tidal distortion greater than 350
	- Axial symmetry between 250 and 600
	
	3. Complexity Metrics:
	- Ring system complexity between 0.7 and 0.95
	- Impact crater count between 0.84 and 0.94
	
	If a planet does not meet at least 4 out of these 6 conditions, classify it as Qtharri.
	
	Additional guidance:
	- Use precise numerical comparisons
	- Consider both mean values and error margins
	- Look for consistent patterns across multiple parameters

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                    26                    6
Actual Qtharri                     5                   29

Accuracy: 0.833
Precision: 0.839
Recall: 0.812
F1 Score: 0.825

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 3.11839228628988
	mean_surface_roughness: 449.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.97948856509942
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 7.24992553671799
	mean_tidal_distortion: 528.5
	mean_core_density: 0.827335153470671
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.78064012490242
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.864902266043937
	mean_axial_symmetry: 517.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 424.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.790063288604147
	surface_roughness_error: 0.959635347410671
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 2.03911745615597
	atmospheric_depth_error: 8.99944442729661
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0722149568995232
	core_density_error: 0.193028495305745
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.217209576216151
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.113490087672889
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.143003496460751
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0634665266104897
	max_orbital_radius: 3.30431930668567
	max_surface_roughness: 405.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 5.15329159449778
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.64108424917491
	max_tidal_distortion: 456.0
	max_core_density: 0.636253737990711
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.586407083797572
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.805023345677025
	max_axial_symmetry: 532.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 481.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.97603964020825
	mean_surface_roughness: 358.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.81299703319041
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.9985096422506
	mean_tidal_distortion: 264.0
	mean_core_density: 0.903668895716609
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.870322019147084
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.928237925945178
	mean_axial_symmetry: 205.5
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 119.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.923525852372309
	surface_roughness_error: 1.3597793938724
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 2.37318351587061
	atmospheric_depth_error: 9.67160793250016
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.103682206766639
	core_density_error: 0.164984847789123
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.225410736212808
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.13823892360692
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.151426549851735
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0649384323802169
	max_orbital_radius: 3.10503500844444
	max_surface_roughness: 359.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.94805041890463
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.24708058458576
	max_tidal_distortion: 301.5
	max_core_density: 0.825286787158538
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.743715603153354
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.870322019147084
	max_axial_symmetry: 82.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 182.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Fylaran when it should have been Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.76945882923085
	mean_surface_roughness: 280.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.59350238112041
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.53741597284935
	mean_tidal_distortion: 79.0
	mean_core_density: 0.895495656846064
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.917010545621275
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.965605144744211
	mean_axial_symmetry: 254.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 396.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.649615270756469
	surface_roughness_error: 1.38166566143912
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.80859061149836
	atmospheric_depth_error: 6.27933117457584
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0760920495189872
	core_density_error: 0.220839308095275
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.230282435283284
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.123571841452655
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.183193886360872
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0967884290605029
	max_orbital_radius: 2.84781214347737
	max_surface_roughness: 289.5
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.68305672464516
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.69789807199366
	max_tidal_distortion: 39.0
	max_core_density: 0.798658254133056
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.8
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.922466675891333
	max_axial_symmetry: 305.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 431.0


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.70938264633599
	mean_surface_roughness: 115.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.5063438316812
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.4093521752147
	mean_tidal_distortion: 58.0
	mean_core_density: 0.947140110436537
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.979556652659007
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.974165140474613
	mean_axial_symmetry: 116.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 74.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.462817458616245
	surface_roughness_error: 0.809258920247408
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.26728055299527
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.38748219369606
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0695485441975603
	core_density_error: 0.0961145150328503
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.0959843737282272
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.10373041983912
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.10821275340735
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0458693797647189
	max_orbital_radius: 2.7669478423497
	max_surface_roughness: 90.5
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.58016002298392
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.53654665955206
	max_tidal_distortion: 59.0
	max_core_density: 0.907688118362531
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.941087897609637
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.924077770385156
	max_axial_symmetry: 30.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 72.0


openai

Round ID: 324
Prompt used:
	To classify an entity as either 'Fylaran' or 'Qtharri,' follow these revised rules. These rules are arranged hierarchically, and conflicts are resolved by strict prioritization. Entities with critical features falling near thresholds will now trigger additional checks.
	
	1. **Primary Orbital and Magnetosphere Rule**:
	   - If mean_orbital_radius > 2.85, classify as Fylaran.
	   - If mean_orbital_radius <= 2.85 and mean_orbital_radius > 2.65 AND mean_magnetosphere_extent > 4.4 and magnetosphere_extent_error < 1.5, classify as Fylaran.
	   - Else, classify as Qtharri.
	
	2. **Surface Roughness Rule**:
	   - If mean_surface_roughness > 460 OR max_surface_roughness > 500, classify as Fylaran IF all of the following conditions hold:
	     - mean_orbital_radius > 2.65
	     - mean_tidal_distortion > 250
	     - mean_cloud_turbulence > 200.
	   - Otherwise, classify as Qtharri.
	
	3. **Magnetosphere-Climate Interaction Rule**:
	   - If mean_magnetosphere_extent > 4.7 AND mean_cloud_turbulence > 450, classify as Fylaran unless mean_tidal_distortion < 200 or max_cloud_turbulence < 400.
	   - Revert to Qtharri if magnetosphere_extent_error > 1.8, regardless of the above.
	
	4. **Core Density and Ring Complexity Rule**:
	   - If mean_core_density > 0.87 AND mean_ring_system_complexity > 0.9, classify as Fylaran IF surface roughness conditions from Rule 2 are also satisfied.
	   - Entities meeting only core_density > 0.87 but failing other criteria must default to Qtharri.
	
	5. **Axial Symmetry and Cloud Override Rule**:
	   - If mean_axial_symmetry > 500 AND mean_cloud_turbulence > 300, classify as Fylaran regardless of other rules.
	   - If mean_axial_symmetry > 500 and mean_cloud_turbulence < 200, override all previous rules and classify as Qtharri.
	
	6. **Atmospheric Depth and Tidal Distortion Rule (Edge Cases)**:
	   - For entities with mean_atmospheric_depth < 6.0:
	     - If max_tidal_distortion > 300 AND mean_core_density > 0.82, classify as Fylaran provided mean_surface_roughness > 220.
	     - Otherwise, classify as Qtharri.
	
	7. **Low-Radius Exception Rule**:
	   - If mean_orbital_radius < 2.5 and magnetosphere_extent_error > 1.2, override all rules and classify as Qtharri.
	
	8. **Final Conflict Resolution Rule**:
	   - If unable to classify definitively after applying all rules, document the entity’s values and default to Qtharri.
	
	### Special Notes:
	- Entities that fit multiple criteria for Fylaran must satisfy the strictest thresholds to override Qtharri classification.
	- Edge cases related to atmospheric depth and magnetosphere extent should be flagged for review in subsequent analyses if thresholds are narrowly exceeded or met.

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                    23                    9
Actual Qtharri                     0                   34

Accuracy: 0.864
Precision: 1.000
Recall: 0.719
F1 Score: 0.836

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 3.0568273729138
	mean_surface_roughness: 467.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.89335213348152
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 7.14282740116162
	mean_tidal_distortion: 215.0
	mean_core_density: 0.883938831432865
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.872219799389446
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.920107100466494
	mean_axial_symmetry: 491.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 93.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.870402205879558
	surface_roughness_error: 1.22841361112615
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 2.13401030925345
	atmospheric_depth_error: 9.37389993545909
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0775628777186613
	core_density_error: 0.186601178988773
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.205718253929981
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.112649900133112
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.1630030674558
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0664153596692813
	max_orbital_radius: 3.22763733053677
	max_surface_roughness: 470.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 5.05688254526158
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.46794233228585
	max_tidal_distortion: 158.5
	max_core_density: 0.738606987222099
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.709320470988793
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.86408018664132
	max_axial_symmetry: 522.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 347.5


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.83732253680635
	mean_surface_roughness: 326.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.65491227788291
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.7077177163824
	mean_tidal_distortion: 226.0
	mean_core_density: 0.922305024717775
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.911004017527717
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.937752020855605
	mean_axial_symmetry: 290.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 28.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.864522989862039
	surface_roughness_error: 1.00796825346833
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 2.24254319913798
	atmospheric_depth_error: 8.90224690738243
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.104019228991567
	core_density_error: 0.14842506526864
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.187082869338697
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.134499070628759
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.124498995979887
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0441361529814278
	max_orbital_radius: 3.03350963788802
	max_surface_roughness: 253.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.86599480426999
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.10987946307227
	max_tidal_distortion: 454.5
	max_core_density: 0.8302200083022
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.779483981604178
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.868055555555556
	max_axial_symmetry: 204.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 38.0


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.52011290552262
	mean_surface_roughness: 198.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.31294447348644
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 5.98896141688986
	mean_tidal_distortion: 474.5
	mean_core_density: 0.913358785598159
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.980094285070224
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.981730004614131
	mean_axial_symmetry: 165.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 410.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.533197899470731
	surface_roughness_error: 1.38130373198656
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.39176147381654
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.62385120867876
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0816333265278342
	core_density_error: 0.131719398723195
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.107610408418517
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0975704873412037
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.151062900806254
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0593801313572141
	max_orbital_radius: 2.62321826558551
	max_surface_roughness: 342.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.42676096601405
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.22257626807137
	max_tidal_distortion: 380.5
	max_core_density: 0.848032564450475
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.928436142162142
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.939831958045901
	max_axial_symmetry: 179.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 301.0


random

Round ID: 212
Prompt used:
	Choose randomly

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                    13                   19
Actual Qtharri                    21                   13

Accuracy: 0.394
Precision: 0.382
Recall: 0.406
F1 Score: 0.394

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.62249231274056
	mean_surface_roughness: 457.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.41546141076012
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.22910254457264
	mean_tidal_distortion: 207.0
	mean_core_density: 0.94552812473407
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.955009502344548
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.973671911512697
	mean_axial_symmetry: 112.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 240.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.486518242206806
	surface_roughness_error: 1.17473401244707
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.20706255016051
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.45757781760453
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.086596766683289
	core_density_error: 0.109635760589326
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.152708873350569
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0944457516249408
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.128335497817245
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0512737749731771
	max_orbital_radius: 2.74019465442878
	max_surface_roughness: 507.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.53302950821041
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.48402436206708
	max_tidal_distortion: 393.0
	max_core_density: 0.867829558274755
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.821220333415455
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.914653666389222
	max_axial_symmetry: 291.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 297.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 3.08831145484708
	mean_surface_roughness: 481.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.94092788167144
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 7.21890970761906
	mean_tidal_distortion: 366.0
	mean_core_density: 0.861623298293986
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.78665827564506
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.884173297966401
	mean_axial_symmetry: 529.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 181.5
	orbital_radius_error: 1.00199800399003
	surface_roughness_error: 0.90598013223249
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 2.52428207615552
	atmospheric_depth_error: 11.7430830704717
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0726842486375143
	core_density_error: 0.197686620690425
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.308512560522258
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.136528385327008
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.154951605348251
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0707248188403477
	max_orbital_radius: 3.2801590532851
	max_surface_roughness: 349.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 5.11379338619888
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.60638738977265
	max_tidal_distortion: 174.0
	max_core_density: 0.759186152444579
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.588546877758813
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.826104915324246
	max_axial_symmetry: 411.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 261.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Fylaran when it should have been Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.41412646772695
	mean_surface_roughness: 211.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.19147127295282
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 5.7497114065446
	mean_tidal_distortion: 434.5
	mean_core_density: 0.921641997382537
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.982627151953463
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.981209831722514
	mean_axial_symmetry: 385.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 483.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.496689037527506
	surface_roughness_error: 1.10317722964173
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.28101522239199
	atmospheric_depth_error: 3.87943294825416
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0888763185556198
	core_density_error: 0.118321595661992
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.092379651439048
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0873155198117723
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.162388423232692
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0613269924258479
	max_orbital_radius: 2.49897390699944
	max_surface_roughness: 199.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.28963718538053
	max_atmospheric_depth: 5.93118361622305
	max_tidal_distortion: 372.5
	max_core_density: 0.874125874125874
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.938332770333671
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.947193937958797
	max_axial_symmetry: 378.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 388.0


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.73890266458497
	mean_surface_roughness: 512.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.57275029473198
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.48829266123012
	mean_tidal_distortion: 177.0
	mean_core_density: 0.890471950133571
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.908347715505496
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.962556550197324
	mean_axial_symmetry: 354.5
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 355.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.504182506638221
	surface_roughness_error: 1.03874924789383
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.61709616287962
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.80728613668877
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0844866853415377
	core_density_error: 0.215708136146971
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.195678307433399
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.107796103825695
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.14380542409798
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0781728853247723
	max_orbital_radius: 2.84607149899958
	max_surface_roughness: 478.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.74057482299429
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.69691078325494
	max_tidal_distortion: 304.0
	max_core_density: 0.704126179411351
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.712250712250712
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.892458723784025
	max_axial_symmetry: 429.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 490.5


Ensemble Confusion Matrix

Predicted +Predicted -
Actual +257
Actual -133

Accuracy 0.879, Precision 0.962, Recall 0.781, F1 0.862