Ensemble

Dataset: wisconsin

Models

Model Narratives

anthropic

Round ID: 59
Prompt used:
	Classify a planet as Fylaran if it meets the following criteria:
	
	1. Orbital and Magnetic Characteristics:
	- Mean orbital radius between 2.7 and 3.2
	- Magnetosphere extent greater than 4.5
	- Magnetosphere extent error less than 2.0
	
	2. Surface and Structural Parameters:
	- Surface roughness between 300 and 550
	- Tidal distortion greater than 350
	- Axial symmetry between 250 and 600
	
	3. Complexity Metrics:
	- Ring system complexity between 0.7 and 0.95
	- Impact crater count between 0.84 and 0.94
	
	If a planet does not meet at least 4 out of these 6 conditions, classify it as Qtharri.
	
	Additional guidance:
	- Use precise numerical comparisons
	- Consider both mean values and error margins
	- Look for consistent patterns across multiple parameters

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                    26                    6
Actual Qtharri                     5                   29

Accuracy: 0.833
Precision: 0.839
Recall: 0.812
F1 Score: 0.825

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 3.22882615572137
	mean_surface_roughness: 353.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 5.1191907006506
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 7.47420480649612
	mean_tidal_distortion: 568.0
	mean_core_density: 0.777181938291754
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.700869077656294
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.832500832500833
	mean_axial_symmetry: 565.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 472.5
	orbital_radius_error: 1.22841361112615
	surface_roughness_error: 1.76635217326557
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 3.1316130029108
	atmospheric_depth_error: 15.2643375224737
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.15274161188098
	core_density_error: 0.313145333671125
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.35749125863439
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.134981480211176
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.213236957397164
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.099373034571759
	max_orbital_radius: 3.29657733253205
	max_surface_roughness: 236.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 5.20345708552408
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.63723438878947
	max_tidal_distortion: 535.0
	max_core_density: 0.702049985959
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.632791242169208
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.816459830176355
	max_axial_symmetry: 448.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 287.5


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.62249231274056
	mean_surface_roughness: 457.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.41546141076012
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.22910254457264
	mean_tidal_distortion: 207.0
	mean_core_density: 0.94552812473407
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.955009502344548
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.973671911512697
	mean_axial_symmetry: 112.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 240.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.486518242206806
	surface_roughness_error: 1.17473401244707
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.20706255016051
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.45757781760453
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.086596766683289
	core_density_error: 0.109635760589326
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.152708873350569
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0944457516249408
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.128335497817245
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0512737749731771
	max_orbital_radius: 2.74019465442878
	max_surface_roughness: 507.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.53302950821041
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.48402436206708
	max_tidal_distortion: 393.0
	max_core_density: 0.867829558274755
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.821220333415455
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.914653666389222
	max_axial_symmetry: 291.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 297.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Fylaran when it should have been Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.72261035243354
	mean_surface_roughness: 545.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.5384960527201
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.43759163693504
	mean_tidal_distortion: 89.0
	mean_core_density: 0.905879155720627
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.900657479960371
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.957781012949199
	mean_axial_symmetry: 11.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 273.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.57913728942281
	surface_roughness_error: 1.52446712001276
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.45086181285469
	atmospheric_depth_error: 5.4735728733616
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0794166229450737
	core_density_error: 0.16867127793433
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.196214168703486
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.100548495761995
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.108857705285386
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0599082632030006
	max_orbital_radius: 2.81839825827108
	max_surface_roughness: 560.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.63957161270542
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.63987583382654
	max_tidal_distortion: 83.0
	max_core_density: 0.804764204088202
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.765462339252909
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.924052153503544
	max_axial_symmetry: 11.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 250.0


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.6217658325052
	mean_surface_roughness: 285.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.41727311486095
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.20979654142497
	mean_tidal_distortion: 294.0
	mean_core_density: 0.926337631539944
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.973823621065753
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.982501645690256
	mean_axial_symmetry: 257.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 294.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.470425339453563
	surface_roughness_error: 1.13357840487546
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.23895116933639
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.1545156155682
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0748865809073962
	core_density_error: 0.128296531519757
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.123652739557197
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0999849988748312
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.138166566143912
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.046184412955022
	max_orbital_radius: 2.69124308278583
	max_surface_roughness: 312.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.48661184986396
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.364234272378
	max_tidal_distortion: 269.0
	max_core_density: 0.844665934622857
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.888494002665482
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.923258734027624
	max_axial_symmetry: 250.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 156.0


openai

Round ID: 324
Prompt used:
	To classify an entity as either 'Fylaran' or 'Qtharri,' follow these revised rules. These rules are arranged hierarchically, and conflicts are resolved by strict prioritization. Entities with critical features falling near thresholds will now trigger additional checks.
	
	1. **Primary Orbital and Magnetosphere Rule**:
	   - If mean_orbital_radius > 2.85, classify as Fylaran.
	   - If mean_orbital_radius <= 2.85 and mean_orbital_radius > 2.65 AND mean_magnetosphere_extent > 4.4 and magnetosphere_extent_error < 1.5, classify as Fylaran.
	   - Else, classify as Qtharri.
	
	2. **Surface Roughness Rule**:
	   - If mean_surface_roughness > 460 OR max_surface_roughness > 500, classify as Fylaran IF all of the following conditions hold:
	     - mean_orbital_radius > 2.65
	     - mean_tidal_distortion > 250
	     - mean_cloud_turbulence > 200.
	   - Otherwise, classify as Qtharri.
	
	3. **Magnetosphere-Climate Interaction Rule**:
	   - If mean_magnetosphere_extent > 4.7 AND mean_cloud_turbulence > 450, classify as Fylaran unless mean_tidal_distortion < 200 or max_cloud_turbulence < 400.
	   - Revert to Qtharri if magnetosphere_extent_error > 1.8, regardless of the above.
	
	4. **Core Density and Ring Complexity Rule**:
	   - If mean_core_density > 0.87 AND mean_ring_system_complexity > 0.9, classify as Fylaran IF surface roughness conditions from Rule 2 are also satisfied.
	   - Entities meeting only core_density > 0.87 but failing other criteria must default to Qtharri.
	
	5. **Axial Symmetry and Cloud Override Rule**:
	   - If mean_axial_symmetry > 500 AND mean_cloud_turbulence > 300, classify as Fylaran regardless of other rules.
	   - If mean_axial_symmetry > 500 and mean_cloud_turbulence < 200, override all previous rules and classify as Qtharri.
	
	6. **Atmospheric Depth and Tidal Distortion Rule (Edge Cases)**:
	   - For entities with mean_atmospheric_depth < 6.0:
	     - If max_tidal_distortion > 300 AND mean_core_density > 0.82, classify as Fylaran provided mean_surface_roughness > 220.
	     - Otherwise, classify as Qtharri.
	
	7. **Low-Radius Exception Rule**:
	   - If mean_orbital_radius < 2.5 and magnetosphere_extent_error > 1.2, override all rules and classify as Qtharri.
	
	8. **Final Conflict Resolution Rule**:
	   - If unable to classify definitively after applying all rules, document the entity’s values and default to Qtharri.
	
	### Special Notes:
	- Entities that fit multiple criteria for Fylaran must satisfy the strictest thresholds to override Qtharri classification.
	- Edge cases related to atmospheric depth and magnetosphere extent should be flagged for review in subsequent analyses if thresholds are narrowly exceeded or met.

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                    23                    9
Actual Qtharri                     0                   34

Accuracy: 0.864
Precision: 1.000
Recall: 0.719
F1 Score: 0.836

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 3.22882615572137
	mean_surface_roughness: 353.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 5.1191907006506
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 7.47420480649612
	mean_tidal_distortion: 568.0
	mean_core_density: 0.777181938291754
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.700869077656294
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.832500832500833
	mean_axial_symmetry: 565.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 472.5
	orbital_radius_error: 1.22841361112615
	surface_roughness_error: 1.76635217326557
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 3.1316130029108
	atmospheric_depth_error: 15.2643375224737
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.15274161188098
	core_density_error: 0.313145333671125
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.35749125863439
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.134981480211176
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.213236957397164
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.099373034571759
	max_orbital_radius: 3.29657733253205
	max_surface_roughness: 236.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 5.20345708552408
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.63723438878947
	max_tidal_distortion: 535.0
	max_core_density: 0.702049985959
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.632791242169208
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.816459830176355
	max_axial_symmetry: 448.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 287.5


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.83732253680635
	mean_surface_roughness: 326.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.65491227788291
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.7077177163824
	mean_tidal_distortion: 226.0
	mean_core_density: 0.922305024717775
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.911004017527717
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.937752020855605
	mean_axial_symmetry: 290.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 28.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.864522989862039
	surface_roughness_error: 1.00796825346833
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 2.24254319913798
	atmospheric_depth_error: 8.90224690738243
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.104019228991567
	core_density_error: 0.14842506526864
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.187082869338697
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.134499070628759
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.124498995979887
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0441361529814278
	max_orbital_radius: 3.03350963788802
	max_surface_roughness: 253.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.86599480426999
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.10987946307227
	max_tidal_distortion: 454.5
	max_core_density: 0.8302200083022
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.779483981604178
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.868055555555556
	max_axial_symmetry: 204.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 38.0


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.72261035243354
	mean_surface_roughness: 545.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.5384960527201
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.43759163693504
	mean_tidal_distortion: 89.0
	mean_core_density: 0.905879155720627
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.900657479960371
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.957781012949199
	mean_axial_symmetry: 11.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 273.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.57913728942281
	surface_roughness_error: 1.52446712001276
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.45086181285469
	atmospheric_depth_error: 5.4735728733616
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0794166229450737
	core_density_error: 0.16867127793433
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.196214168703486
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.100548495761995
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.108857705285386
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0599082632030006
	max_orbital_radius: 2.81839825827108
	max_surface_roughness: 560.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.63957161270542
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.63987583382654
	max_tidal_distortion: 83.0
	max_core_density: 0.804764204088202
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.765462339252909
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.924052153503544
	max_axial_symmetry: 11.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 250.0


random

Round ID: 212
Prompt used:
	Choose randomly

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                    13                   19
Actual Qtharri                    21                   13

Accuracy: 0.394
Precision: 0.382
Recall: 0.406
F1 Score: 0.394

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 3.0568273729138
	mean_surface_roughness: 467.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.89335213348152
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 7.14282740116162
	mean_tidal_distortion: 215.0
	mean_core_density: 0.883938831432865
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.872219799389446
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.920107100466494
	mean_axial_symmetry: 491.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 93.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.870402205879558
	surface_roughness_error: 1.22841361112615
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 2.13401030925345
	atmospheric_depth_error: 9.37389993545909
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0775628777186613
	core_density_error: 0.186601178988773
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.205718253929981
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.112649900133112
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.1630030674558
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0664153596692813
	max_orbital_radius: 3.22763733053677
	max_surface_roughness: 470.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 5.05688254526158
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.46794233228585
	max_tidal_distortion: 158.5
	max_core_density: 0.738606987222099
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.709320470988793
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.86408018664132
	max_axial_symmetry: 522.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 347.5


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.59897910604785
	mean_surface_roughness: 120.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.42568460401334
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.16981991563206
	mean_tidal_distortion: 559.0
	mean_core_density: 0.854700854700855
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.863707030575229
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.925163522652629
	mean_axial_symmetry: 487.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 541.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.57835974963685
	surface_roughness_error: 0.943504107039286
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.48895936814945
	atmospheric_depth_error: 5.21440312979348
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0866602561731732
	core_density_error: 0.182893411581719
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.191624633072056
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.106630202100531
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.147139389695622
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0712881476824865
	max_orbital_radius: 2.80154054418955
	max_surface_roughness: 232.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.64822967544854
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.61015754174298
	max_tidal_distortion: 553.0
	max_core_density: 0.655780706931602
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.651253663301856
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.851716208159441
	max_axial_symmetry: 536.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 549.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Fylaran when it should have been Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.63547950826737
	mean_surface_roughness: 135.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.43248207816237
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.24358420665871
	mean_tidal_distortion: 360.5
	mean_core_density: 0.926414867105787
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.942018746173049
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.967398664989842
	mean_axial_symmetry: 239.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 390.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.457602447545902
	surface_roughness_error: 0.873842090998139
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.10950439386241
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.20356991139674
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.093407708461347
	core_density_error: 0.141527382509534
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.152807067899361
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.106395488626163
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.162018517460196
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0687459089691888
	max_orbital_radius: 2.69056488676119
	max_surface_roughness: 111.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.49769632768286
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.37400215057244
	max_tidal_distortion: 443.5
	max_core_density: 0.828637719588996
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.816926721673066
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.904486251808973
	max_axial_symmetry: 482.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 454.0


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.6217658325052
	mean_surface_roughness: 285.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.41727311486095
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.20979654142497
	mean_tidal_distortion: 294.0
	mean_core_density: 0.926337631539944
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.973823621065753
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.982501645690256
	mean_axial_symmetry: 257.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 294.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.470425339453563
	surface_roughness_error: 1.13357840487546
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.23895116933639
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.1545156155682
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0748865809073962
	core_density_error: 0.128296531519757
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.123652739557197
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0999849988748312
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.138166566143912
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.046184412955022
	max_orbital_radius: 2.69124308278583
	max_surface_roughness: 312.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.48661184986396
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.364234272378
	max_tidal_distortion: 269.0
	max_core_density: 0.844665934622857
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.888494002665482
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.923258734027624
	max_axial_symmetry: 250.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 156.0


Ensemble Confusion Matrix

Predicted +Predicted -
Actual +257
Actual -133

Accuracy 0.879, Precision 0.962, Recall 0.781, F1 0.862