Ensemble

Dataset: wisconsin

Models

Model Narratives

anthropic

Round ID: 59
Prompt used:
	Classify a planet as Fylaran if it meets the following criteria:
	
	1. Orbital and Magnetic Characteristics:
	- Mean orbital radius between 2.7 and 3.2
	- Magnetosphere extent greater than 4.5
	- Magnetosphere extent error less than 2.0
	
	2. Surface and Structural Parameters:
	- Surface roughness between 300 and 550
	- Tidal distortion greater than 350
	- Axial symmetry between 250 and 600
	
	3. Complexity Metrics:
	- Ring system complexity between 0.7 and 0.95
	- Impact crater count between 0.84 and 0.94
	
	If a planet does not meet at least 4 out of these 6 conditions, classify it as Qtharri.
	
	Additional guidance:
	- Use precise numerical comparisons
	- Consider both mean values and error margins
	- Look for consistent patterns across multiple parameters

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                    26                    6
Actual Qtharri                     5                   29

Accuracy: 0.833
Precision: 0.839
Recall: 0.812
F1 Score: 0.825

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 3.11839228628988
	mean_surface_roughness: 449.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.97948856509942
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 7.24992553671799
	mean_tidal_distortion: 528.5
	mean_core_density: 0.827335153470671
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.78064012490242
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.864902266043937
	mean_axial_symmetry: 517.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 424.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.790063288604147
	surface_roughness_error: 0.959635347410671
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 2.03911745615597
	atmospheric_depth_error: 8.99944442729661
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0722149568995232
	core_density_error: 0.193028495305745
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.217209576216151
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.113490087672889
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.143003496460751
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0634665266104897
	max_orbital_radius: 3.30431930668567
	max_surface_roughness: 405.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 5.15329159449778
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.64108424917491
	max_tidal_distortion: 456.0
	max_core_density: 0.636253737990711
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.586407083797572
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.805023345677025
	max_axial_symmetry: 532.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 481.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.69462718077007
	mean_surface_roughness: 125.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.51557365217633
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.37178277279419
	mean_tidal_distortion: 366.0
	mean_core_density: 0.886524822695035
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.927738451975619
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.951755513043809
	mean_axial_symmetry: 177.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 411.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.52792044855262
	surface_roughness_error: 0.787718223732319
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.39892816112908
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.83218377133983
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0686804193347711
	core_density_error: 0.143701078631999
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.132627297341083
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0959479025304879
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.110453610171873
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0559464029227975
	max_orbital_radius: 2.86619290219901
	max_surface_roughness: 136.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.7122292582815
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.70122299347312
	max_tidal_distortion: 377.5
	max_core_density: 0.738443361394181
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.782533844588778
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.878503030835456
	max_axial_symmetry: 180.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 495.5


Examples for Falsely predicted Fylaran when it should have been Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.73890266458497
	mean_surface_roughness: 512.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.57275029473198
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.48829266123012
	mean_tidal_distortion: 177.0
	mean_core_density: 0.890471950133571
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.908347715505496
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.962556550197324
	mean_axial_symmetry: 354.5
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 355.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.504182506638221
	surface_roughness_error: 1.03874924789383
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.61709616287962
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.80728613668877
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0844866853415377
	core_density_error: 0.215708136146971
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.195678307433399
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.107796103825695
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.14380542409798
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0781728853247723
	max_orbital_radius: 2.84607149899958
	max_surface_roughness: 478.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.74057482299429
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.69691078325494
	max_tidal_distortion: 304.0
	max_core_density: 0.704126179411351
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.712250712250712
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.892458723784025
	max_axial_symmetry: 429.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 490.5


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.70938264633599
	mean_surface_roughness: 115.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.5063438316812
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.4093521752147
	mean_tidal_distortion: 58.0
	mean_core_density: 0.947140110436537
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.979556652659007
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.974165140474613
	mean_axial_symmetry: 116.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 74.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.462817458616245
	surface_roughness_error: 0.809258920247408
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.26728055299527
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.38748219369606
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0695485441975603
	core_density_error: 0.0961145150328503
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.0959843737282272
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.10373041983912
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.10821275340735
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0458693797647189
	max_orbital_radius: 2.7669478423497
	max_surface_roughness: 90.5
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.58016002298392
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.53654665955206
	max_tidal_distortion: 59.0
	max_core_density: 0.907688118362531
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.941087897609637
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.924077770385156
	max_axial_symmetry: 30.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 72.0


openai

Round ID: 324
Prompt used:
	To classify an entity as either 'Fylaran' or 'Qtharri,' follow these revised rules. These rules are arranged hierarchically, and conflicts are resolved by strict prioritization. Entities with critical features falling near thresholds will now trigger additional checks.
	
	1. **Primary Orbital and Magnetosphere Rule**:
	   - If mean_orbital_radius > 2.85, classify as Fylaran.
	   - If mean_orbital_radius <= 2.85 and mean_orbital_radius > 2.65 AND mean_magnetosphere_extent > 4.4 and magnetosphere_extent_error < 1.5, classify as Fylaran.
	   - Else, classify as Qtharri.
	
	2. **Surface Roughness Rule**:
	   - If mean_surface_roughness > 460 OR max_surface_roughness > 500, classify as Fylaran IF all of the following conditions hold:
	     - mean_orbital_radius > 2.65
	     - mean_tidal_distortion > 250
	     - mean_cloud_turbulence > 200.
	   - Otherwise, classify as Qtharri.
	
	3. **Magnetosphere-Climate Interaction Rule**:
	   - If mean_magnetosphere_extent > 4.7 AND mean_cloud_turbulence > 450, classify as Fylaran unless mean_tidal_distortion < 200 or max_cloud_turbulence < 400.
	   - Revert to Qtharri if magnetosphere_extent_error > 1.8, regardless of the above.
	
	4. **Core Density and Ring Complexity Rule**:
	   - If mean_core_density > 0.87 AND mean_ring_system_complexity > 0.9, classify as Fylaran IF surface roughness conditions from Rule 2 are also satisfied.
	   - Entities meeting only core_density > 0.87 but failing other criteria must default to Qtharri.
	
	5. **Axial Symmetry and Cloud Override Rule**:
	   - If mean_axial_symmetry > 500 AND mean_cloud_turbulence > 300, classify as Fylaran regardless of other rules.
	   - If mean_axial_symmetry > 500 and mean_cloud_turbulence < 200, override all previous rules and classify as Qtharri.
	
	6. **Atmospheric Depth and Tidal Distortion Rule (Edge Cases)**:
	   - For entities with mean_atmospheric_depth < 6.0:
	     - If max_tidal_distortion > 300 AND mean_core_density > 0.82, classify as Fylaran provided mean_surface_roughness > 220.
	     - Otherwise, classify as Qtharri.
	
	7. **Low-Radius Exception Rule**:
	   - If mean_orbital_radius < 2.5 and magnetosphere_extent_error > 1.2, override all rules and classify as Qtharri.
	
	8. **Final Conflict Resolution Rule**:
	   - If unable to classify definitively after applying all rules, document the entity’s values and default to Qtharri.
	
	### Special Notes:
	- Entities that fit multiple criteria for Fylaran must satisfy the strictest thresholds to override Qtharri classification.
	- Edge cases related to atmospheric depth and magnetosphere extent should be flagged for review in subsequent analyses if thresholds are narrowly exceeded or met.

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                    23                    9
Actual Qtharri                     0                   34

Accuracy: 0.864
Precision: 1.000
Recall: 0.719
F1 Score: 0.836

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 3.0174937653355
	mean_surface_roughness: 283.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.8605872978526
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 7.06304816338817
	mean_tidal_distortion: 471.0
	mean_core_density: 0.873515024458421
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.815926892950392
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.893335715561908
	mean_axial_symmetry: 317.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 267.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.752263251794211
	surface_roughness_error: 1.18659175793531
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.90551830219497
	atmospheric_depth_error: 8.2304313374209
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0727186358507914
	core_density_error: 0.168315180539368
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.206300751331642
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.108443533693808
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.131034346642398
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0566656862660288
	max_orbital_radius: 3.21727454350123
	max_surface_roughness: 441.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 5.04277974742282
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.46221493976819
	max_tidal_distortion: 464.0
	max_core_density: 0.728597449908925
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.627510040160643
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.829187396351575
	max_axial_symmetry: 458.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 407.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.8130106367387
	mean_surface_roughness: 472.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.71133038181648
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.65221765985692
	mean_tidal_distortion: 487.5
	mean_core_density: 0.762543846271161
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.758955676988464
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.878966335589347
	mean_axial_symmetry: 556.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 558.0
	orbital_radius_error: 1.13666177907063
	surface_roughness_error: 1.56652481627327
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 3.18119474411737
	atmospheric_depth_error: 11.7686022959398
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.111175536877498
	core_density_error: 0.244846890933906
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.286914621446869
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.173896520954273
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.152872495891184
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0777303029712351
	max_orbital_radius: 3.03735394824481
	max_surface_roughness: 472.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.97466263363744
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.11232744471091
	max_tidal_distortion: 459.5
	max_core_density: 0.659108884787767
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.618008775724615
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.802439415824105
	max_axial_symmetry: 464.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 488.5


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.61227324570844
	mean_surface_roughness: 381.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.42064620563894
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.17669852534897
	mean_tidal_distortion: 341.0
	mean_core_density: 0.892140244446427
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.903750564844103
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.943209364182568
	mean_axial_symmetry: 244.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 500.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.585149553533112
	surface_roughness_error: 1.34275835502893
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.64651146367099
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.5254833995939
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.113622180933126
	core_density_error: 0.201047258126044
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.225853935099657
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.151492574075431
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.146424041741785
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0767528501099471
	max_orbital_radius: 2.66235524184008
	max_surface_roughness: 289.5
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.49980967033027
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.26985357264817
	max_tidal_distortion: 252.5
	max_core_density: 0.816326530612245
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.818598559266536
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.90049527239982
	max_axial_symmetry: 46.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 357.0


random

Round ID: 212
Prompt used:
	Choose randomly

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                    13                   19
Actual Qtharri                    21                   13

Accuracy: 0.394
Precision: 0.382
Recall: 0.406
F1 Score: 0.394

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.59076704048748
	mean_surface_roughness: 535.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.40854684448328
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.17044720263642
	mean_tidal_distortion: 400.0
	mean_core_density: 0.880824451686779
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.9021199819576
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.956370383121976
	mean_axial_symmetry: 413.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 488.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.63663176169588
	surface_roughness_error: 1.34499070628759
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.62542302186231
	atmospheric_depth_error: 5.86856030044848
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0953834367172834
	core_density_error: 0.196086715511276
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.193984535466104
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.114934764105557
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.137040140105007
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0753126815350509
	max_orbital_radius: 2.81241021642645
	max_surface_roughness: 558.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.63181211693451
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.646260636284
	max_tidal_distortion: 550.0
	max_core_density: 0.67999456004352
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.693240901213172
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.872676498821887
	max_axial_symmetry: 442.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 544.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 3.18676577094997
	mean_surface_roughness: 536.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 5.0401940963378
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 7.42117752859539
	mean_tidal_distortion: 277.0
	mean_core_density: 0.856017805170348
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.836820083682008
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.889917237696894
	mean_axial_symmetry: 384.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 338.0
	orbital_radius_error: 1.0285912696499
	surface_roughness_error: 0.981580358401695
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 2.69202525991121
	atmospheric_depth_error: 12.4819870213039
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0801748090113098
	core_density_error: 0.169204018864801
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.212061311888803
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.130996183150503
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.126095202129185
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0552539591341652
	max_orbital_radius: 3.46604835398177
	max_surface_roughness: 525.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 5.33271879326537
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.98786409608569
	max_tidal_distortion: 440.0
	max_core_density: 0.707914483930341
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.632111251580278
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.794091955848487
	max_axial_symmetry: 399.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 377.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Fylaran when it should have been Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.48989419129904
	mean_surface_roughness: 186.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.28013232699254
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 5.90672331865289
	mean_tidal_distortion: 542.0
	mean_core_density: 0.903260771384699
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.960956343753303
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.95906701960333
	mean_axial_symmetry: 424.5
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 556.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.421781934179263
	surface_roughness_error: 1.01488915650922
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.14804181108529
	atmospheric_depth_error: 3.50713558335004
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.112338773359869
	core_density_error: 0.153231850475024
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.134164078649987
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.113357840487546
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.148996644257513
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0911756546453054
	max_orbital_radius: 2.5408142817263
	max_surface_roughness: 132.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.34484384354617
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.02126603834477
	max_tidal_distortion: 529.0
	max_core_density: 0.831186102568365
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.888415067519545
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.913125262523513
	max_axial_symmetry: 268.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 534.0


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.64262239577975
	mean_surface_roughness: 268.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.45539326066986
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.24027584517077
	mean_tidal_distortion: 464.0
	mean_core_density: 0.884642604387827
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.912383785115371
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.946942795185743
	mean_axial_symmetry: 470.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 397.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.557314991723711
	surface_roughness_error: 1.22882057274445
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.60934769394311
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.64435140789325
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.088357229472183
	core_density_error: 0.198292712927127
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.226097324177001
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.136967149346111
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.169115345252878
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0755976190101249
	max_orbital_radius: 2.72063731660768
	max_surface_roughness: 262.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.55619000376637
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.38384441566749
	max_tidal_distortion: 309.5
	max_core_density: 0.790014220255965
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.795355126063788
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.8882572392965
	max_axial_symmetry: 408.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 341.0


Ensemble Confusion Matrix

Predicted +Predicted -
Actual +257
Actual -133

Accuracy 0.879, Precision 0.962, Recall 0.781, F1 0.862