Ensemble

Dataset: wisconsin

Models

Model Narratives

anthropic

Round ID: 59
Prompt used:
	Classify a planet as Fylaran if it meets the following criteria:
	
	1. Orbital and Magnetic Characteristics:
	- Mean orbital radius between 2.7 and 3.2
	- Magnetosphere extent greater than 4.5
	- Magnetosphere extent error less than 2.0
	
	2. Surface and Structural Parameters:
	- Surface roughness between 300 and 550
	- Tidal distortion greater than 350
	- Axial symmetry between 250 and 600
	
	3. Complexity Metrics:
	- Ring system complexity between 0.7 and 0.95
	- Impact crater count between 0.84 and 0.94
	
	If a planet does not meet at least 4 out of these 6 conditions, classify it as Qtharri.
	
	Additional guidance:
	- Use precise numerical comparisons
	- Consider both mean values and error margins
	- Look for consistent patterns across multiple parameters

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                    26                    6
Actual Qtharri                     5                   29

Accuracy: 0.833
Precision: 0.839
Recall: 0.812
F1 Score: 0.825

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 3.02916704964023
	mean_surface_roughness: 422.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.87443367291585
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 7.08590146436561
	mean_tidal_distortion: 318.0
	mean_core_density: 0.881911985183879
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.842957093483942
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.900657479960371
	mean_axial_symmetry: 483.5
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 126.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.789050061783155
	surface_roughness_error: 1.511290838985
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 2.27442300375282
	atmospheric_depth_error: 8.22556988907152
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0689637585982667
	core_density_error: 0.183521115951271
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.208446635856758
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.134387499418659
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.19380402472601
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0573410847473258
	max_orbital_radius: 3.16758253048065
	max_surface_roughness: 526.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 5.06638530920075
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.34018683532012
	max_tidal_distortion: 184.0
	max_core_density: 0.743052459503641
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.678702321161938
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.815993472052224
	max_axial_symmetry: 539.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 271.5


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.83438912314523
	mean_surface_roughness: 476.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.64150211523548
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.68311060154166
	mean_tidal_distortion: 87.0
	mean_core_density: 0.937479492636099
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.968063582416093
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.967838719355806
	mean_axial_symmetry: 74.5
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 117.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.616035713250458
	surface_roughness_error: 1.08949529599719
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.57035027939629
	atmospheric_depth_error: 6.36474665638783
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0634744042902334
	core_density_error: 0.0962756459339536
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.104928547116597
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0871263450398328
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.120830459735946
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0551543289325507
	max_orbital_radius: 3.00518743232475
	max_surface_roughness: 516.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.82671245593533
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.04838640872188
	max_tidal_distortion: 154.0
	max_core_density: 0.865725911176522
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.872676498821887
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.909297567629007
	max_axial_symmetry: 336.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 350.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Fylaran when it should have been Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.76945882923085
	mean_surface_roughness: 280.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.59350238112041
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.53741597284935
	mean_tidal_distortion: 79.0
	mean_core_density: 0.895495656846064
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.917010545621275
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.965605144744211
	mean_axial_symmetry: 254.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 396.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.649615270756469
	surface_roughness_error: 1.38166566143912
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.80859061149836
	atmospheric_depth_error: 6.27933117457584
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0760920495189872
	core_density_error: 0.220839308095275
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.230282435283284
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.123571841452655
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.183193886360872
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0967884290605029
	max_orbital_radius: 2.84781214347737
	max_surface_roughness: 289.5
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.68305672464516
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.69789807199366
	max_tidal_distortion: 39.0
	max_core_density: 0.798658254133056
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.8
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.922466675891333
	max_axial_symmetry: 305.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 431.0


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.58926666511224
	mean_surface_roughness: 16.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.38014987466102
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.14225243623005
	mean_tidal_distortion: 391.5
	mean_core_density: 0.934745422084295
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.961658668872071
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.964320154291225
	mean_axial_symmetry: 429.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 205.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.485798312059645
	surface_roughness_error: 0.815843122174846
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.29228479833201
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.17492514902962
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0896939239859646
	core_density_error: 0.108627804912002
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.129730489862638
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.111400179533069
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.138708327075198
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0474130783645188
	max_orbital_radius: 2.67414864942653
	max_surface_roughness: 10.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.47699584726458
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.31010007988141
	max_tidal_distortion: 348.5
	max_core_density: 0.887626486774365
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.889521437466643
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.914151986909344
	max_axial_symmetry: 289.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 81.0


openai35

Round ID: 196
Prompt used:
	Add a new rule based on the mean_surface_roughness feature: If mean_surface_roughness is below a certain threshold, predict Fylaran; otherwise, predict Qtharri. This rule aims to improve the classification accuracy and reduce false positives and false negatives in the dataset based on the analysis of previous misclassifications.

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                     4                   28
Actual Qtharri                     2                   32

Accuracy: 0.545
Precision: 0.667
Recall: 0.125
F1 Score: 0.211

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 3.10772077550204
	mean_surface_roughness: 94.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.95793750509581
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 7.23489842031483
	mean_tidal_distortion: 354.5
	mean_core_density: 0.868432479374729
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.838082467314784
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.888494002665482
	mean_axial_symmetry: 439.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 294.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.584294446319662
	surface_roughness_error: 1.14411537879709
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.55145093380358
	atmospheric_depth_error: 6.2497999967999
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0665281895139196
	core_density_error: 0.163554272337961
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.185391477689779
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.115887876846545
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.129421791055448
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0660832807902271
	max_orbital_radius: 3.16505301817069
	max_surface_roughness: 167.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 5.03109130266364
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.33693691370762
	max_tidal_distortion: 160.0
	max_core_density: 0.778816199376947
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.713063320022818
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.835701153267591
	max_axial_symmetry: 241.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 376.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.80093319524892
	mean_surface_roughness: 10.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.63957161270542
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.60380831406432
	mean_tidal_distortion: 557.0
	mean_core_density: 0.865426222414539
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.831117021276596
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.901144453455889
	mean_axial_symmetry: 433.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 499.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.648768063332344
	surface_roughness_error: 0.811356888181767
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.67481342244442
	atmospheric_depth_error: 6.68131723539603
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0734370478709486
	core_density_error: 0.152348285188905
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.207436737344184
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.114891252930761
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.133865604245452
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0645600495662759
	max_orbital_radius: 2.98517675961447
	max_surface_roughness: 39.5
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.83628190695148
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.0057890192535
	max_tidal_distortion: 478.5
	max_core_density: 0.736214385629095
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.631711939355654
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.845522955948254
	max_axial_symmetry: 443.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 483.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Fylaran when it should have been Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.6217658325052
	mean_surface_roughness: 285.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.41727311486095
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.20979654142497
	mean_tidal_distortion: 294.0
	mean_core_density: 0.926337631539944
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.973823621065753
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.982501645690256
	mean_axial_symmetry: 257.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 294.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.470425339453563
	surface_roughness_error: 1.13357840487546
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.23895116933639
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.1545156155682
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0748865809073962
	core_density_error: 0.128296531519757
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.123652739557197
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0999849988748312
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.138166566143912
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.046184412955022
	max_orbital_radius: 2.69124308278583
	max_surface_roughness: 312.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.48661184986396
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.364234272378
	max_tidal_distortion: 269.0
	max_core_density: 0.844665934622857
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.888494002665482
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.923258734027624
	max_axial_symmetry: 250.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 156.0


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.41412646772695
	mean_surface_roughness: 211.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.19147127295282
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 5.7497114065446
	mean_tidal_distortion: 434.5
	mean_core_density: 0.921641997382537
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.982627151953463
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.981209831722514
	mean_axial_symmetry: 385.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 483.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.496689037527506
	surface_roughness_error: 1.10317722964173
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.28101522239199
	atmospheric_depth_error: 3.87943294825416
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0888763185556198
	core_density_error: 0.118321595661992
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.092379651439048
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0873155198117723
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.162388423232692
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0613269924258479
	max_orbital_radius: 2.49897390699944
	max_surface_roughness: 199.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.28963718538053
	max_atmospheric_depth: 5.93118361622305
	max_tidal_distortion: 372.5
	max_core_density: 0.874125874125874
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.938332770333671
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.947193937958797
	max_axial_symmetry: 378.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 388.0


random

Round ID: 212
Prompt used:
	Choose randomly

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                    13                   19
Actual Qtharri                    21                   13

Accuracy: 0.394
Precision: 0.382
Recall: 0.406
F1 Score: 0.394

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.59076704048748
	mean_surface_roughness: 535.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.40854684448328
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.17044720263642
	mean_tidal_distortion: 400.0
	mean_core_density: 0.880824451686779
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.9021199819576
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.956370383121976
	mean_axial_symmetry: 413.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 488.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.63663176169588
	surface_roughness_error: 1.34499070628759
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.62542302186231
	atmospheric_depth_error: 5.86856030044848
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0953834367172834
	core_density_error: 0.196086715511276
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.193984535466104
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.114934764105557
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.137040140105007
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0753126815350509
	max_orbital_radius: 2.81241021642645
	max_surface_roughness: 558.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.63181211693451
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.646260636284
	max_tidal_distortion: 550.0
	max_core_density: 0.67999456004352
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.693240901213172
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.872676498821887
	max_axial_symmetry: 442.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 544.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.8100049236252
	mean_surface_roughness: 314.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.61512051684126
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.63279197893813
	mean_tidal_distortion: 48.0
	mean_core_density: 0.94682623844872
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.959610014490111
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.972318103590771
	mean_axial_symmetry: 87.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 37.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.479374592568275
	surface_roughness_error: 0.999399819891919
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.23854753643128
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.70956473572665
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.053160135440008
	core_density_error: 0.095420123663722
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.114498908291739
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0719305220334178
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.100647901120689
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0366742416417845
	max_orbital_radius: 2.93969088267037
	max_surface_roughness: 473.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.76131886847802
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.89730082107828
	max_tidal_distortion: 84.0
	max_core_density: 0.846955196070128
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.815660685154976
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.921081718370054
	max_axial_symmetry: 220.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 94.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Fylaran when it should have been Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.36799823154228
	mean_surface_roughness: 32.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.17623172169429
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 5.61130162186204
	mean_tidal_distortion: 556.0
	mean_core_density: 0.819403474270731
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.893814801573114
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.934247650367159
	mean_axial_symmetry: 475.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 568.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.523832034148352
	surface_roughness_error: 1.17898261225516
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.33678719323608
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.20356991139674
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.147546602807384
	core_density_error: 0.221088217686968
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.227793766376519
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.120415945787923
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.162234398325386
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.107144761887831
	max_orbital_radius: 2.45100509811232
	max_surface_roughness: 63.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.25518708733893
	max_atmospheric_depth: 5.79636165594929
	max_tidal_distortion: 566.0
	max_core_density: 0.731903681475518
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.774413381863238
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.90293453724605
	max_axial_symmetry: 301.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 560.0


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.47737838336721
	mean_surface_roughness: 15.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.25049324471203
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 5.89907509781463
	mean_tidal_distortion: 134.0
	mean_core_density: 0.954918306738858
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.987790904421352
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.986494885024021
	mean_axial_symmetry: 37.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 231.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.418688428309166
	surface_roughness_error: 1.01341008481266
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.12561094522042
	atmospheric_depth_error: 3.33016516106934
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0589745707911469
	core_density_error: 0.11049886877249
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.103537432844358
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.096917490681507
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.171493440107778
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0585491246732178
	max_orbital_radius: 2.5152741864044
	max_surface_roughness: 6.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.29619637806869
	max_atmospheric_depth: 5.97431838827301
	max_tidal_distortion: 16.0
	max_core_density: 0.930180641080498
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.971968430465379
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.969048588096207
	max_axial_symmetry: 31.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 69.0


Ensemble Confusion Matrix

Predicted +Predicted -
Actual +1418
Actual -232

Accuracy 0.697, Precision 0.875, Recall 0.438, F1 0.583