Ensemble

Dataset: wisconsin

Models

Model Narratives

anthropic

Round ID: 59
Prompt used:
	Classify a planet as Fylaran if it meets the following criteria:
	
	1. Orbital and Magnetic Characteristics:
	- Mean orbital radius between 2.7 and 3.2
	- Magnetosphere extent greater than 4.5
	- Magnetosphere extent error less than 2.0
	
	2. Surface and Structural Parameters:
	- Surface roughness between 300 and 550
	- Tidal distortion greater than 350
	- Axial symmetry between 250 and 600
	
	3. Complexity Metrics:
	- Ring system complexity between 0.7 and 0.95
	- Impact crater count between 0.84 and 0.94
	
	If a planet does not meet at least 4 out of these 6 conditions, classify it as Qtharri.
	
	Additional guidance:
	- Use precise numerical comparisons
	- Consider both mean values and error margins
	- Look for consistent patterns across multiple parameters

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                    26                    6
Actual Qtharri                     5                   29

Accuracy: 0.833
Precision: 0.839
Recall: 0.812
F1 Score: 0.825

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.8130106367387
	mean_surface_roughness: 472.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.71133038181648
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.65221765985692
	mean_tidal_distortion: 487.5
	mean_core_density: 0.762543846271161
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.758955676988464
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.878966335589347
	mean_axial_symmetry: 556.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 558.0
	orbital_radius_error: 1.13666177907063
	surface_roughness_error: 1.56652481627327
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 3.18119474411737
	atmospheric_depth_error: 11.7686022959398
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.111175536877498
	core_density_error: 0.244846890933906
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.286914621446869
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.173896520954273
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.152872495891184
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0777303029712351
	max_orbital_radius: 3.03735394824481
	max_surface_roughness: 472.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.97466263363744
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.11232744471091
	max_tidal_distortion: 459.5
	max_core_density: 0.659108884787767
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.618008775724615
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.802439415824105
	max_axial_symmetry: 464.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 488.5


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.59897910604785
	mean_surface_roughness: 120.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.42568460401334
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.16981991563206
	mean_tidal_distortion: 559.0
	mean_core_density: 0.854700854700855
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.863707030575229
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.925163522652629
	mean_axial_symmetry: 487.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 541.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.57835974963685
	surface_roughness_error: 0.943504107039286
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.48895936814945
	atmospheric_depth_error: 5.21440312979348
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0866602561731732
	core_density_error: 0.182893411581719
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.191624633072056
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.106630202100531
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.147139389695622
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0712881476824865
	max_orbital_radius: 2.80154054418955
	max_surface_roughness: 232.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.64822967544854
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.61015754174298
	max_tidal_distortion: 553.0
	max_core_density: 0.655780706931602
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.651253663301856
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.851716208159441
	max_axial_symmetry: 536.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 549.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Fylaran when it should have been Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.53686638871871
	mean_surface_roughness: 256.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.3329676843847
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.02465751446375
	mean_tidal_distortion: 510.5
	mean_core_density: 0.907688118362531
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.933968431867003
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.966323621780934
	mean_axial_symmetry: 295.5
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 401.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.553172667437573
	surface_roughness_error: 1.28724512040248
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.46799182559032
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.54092501589709
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0924121204171834
	core_density_error: 0.151986841535707
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.171610023017305
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.11823705003086
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.125099960031968
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0619677335393187
	max_orbital_radius: 2.64900766046843
	max_surface_roughness: 419.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.46026001419228
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.25900768571888
	max_tidal_distortion: 534.0
	max_core_density: 0.789889415481833
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.776819700147596
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.89142449634516
	max_axial_symmetry: 276.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 416.0


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.64119789411437
	mean_surface_roughness: 260.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.42616313016197
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.26301723762988
	mean_tidal_distortion: 196.5
	mean_core_density: 0.963706801842607
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.975019987909752
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.971600128251217
	mean_axial_symmetry: 45.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 161.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.428835632847831
	surface_roughness_error: 1.5303594349041
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.0816653826392
	atmospheric_depth_error: 3.76297754444536
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0659696900098826
	core_density_error: 0.0699928567783885
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.115887876846545
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.107888831674089
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.163431943022164
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.042154477816716
	max_orbital_radius: 2.66025953726586
	max_surface_roughness: 197.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.44804843021588
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.30426597035273
	max_tidal_distortion: 31.0
	max_core_density: 0.955849319913209
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.953898104604466
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.952263053145801
	max_axial_symmetry: 18.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 25.0


openai35

Round ID: 196
Prompt used:
	Add a new rule based on the mean_surface_roughness feature: If mean_surface_roughness is below a certain threshold, predict Fylaran; otherwise, predict Qtharri. This rule aims to improve the classification accuracy and reduce false positives and false negatives in the dataset based on the analysis of previous misclassifications.

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                     4                   28
Actual Qtharri                     2                   32

Accuracy: 0.545
Precision: 0.667
Recall: 0.125
F1 Score: 0.211

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 3.0174937653355
	mean_surface_roughness: 283.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.8605872978526
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 7.06304816338817
	mean_tidal_distortion: 471.0
	mean_core_density: 0.873515024458421
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.815926892950392
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.893335715561908
	mean_axial_symmetry: 317.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 267.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.752263251794211
	surface_roughness_error: 1.18659175793531
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.90551830219497
	atmospheric_depth_error: 8.2304313374209
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0727186358507914
	core_density_error: 0.168315180539368
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.206300751331642
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.108443533693808
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.131034346642398
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0566656862660288
	max_orbital_radius: 3.21727454350123
	max_surface_roughness: 441.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 5.04277974742282
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.46221493976819
	max_tidal_distortion: 464.0
	max_core_density: 0.728597449908925
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.627510040160643
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.829187396351575
	max_axial_symmetry: 458.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 407.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.8100049236252
	mean_surface_roughness: 314.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.61512051684126
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.63279197893813
	mean_tidal_distortion: 48.0
	mean_core_density: 0.94682623844872
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.959610014490111
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.972318103590771
	mean_axial_symmetry: 87.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 37.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.479374592568275
	surface_roughness_error: 0.999399819891919
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.23854753643128
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.70956473572665
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.053160135440008
	core_density_error: 0.095420123663722
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.114498908291739
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0719305220334178
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.100647901120689
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0366742416417845
	max_orbital_radius: 2.93969088267037
	max_surface_roughness: 473.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.76131886847802
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.89730082107828
	max_tidal_distortion: 84.0
	max_core_density: 0.846955196070128
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.815660685154976
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.921081718370054
	max_axial_symmetry: 220.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 94.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Fylaran when it should have been Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.6217658325052
	mean_surface_roughness: 285.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.41727311486095
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.20979654142497
	mean_tidal_distortion: 294.0
	mean_core_density: 0.926337631539944
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.973823621065753
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.982501645690256
	mean_axial_symmetry: 257.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 294.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.470425339453563
	surface_roughness_error: 1.13357840487546
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.23895116933639
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.1545156155682
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0748865809073962
	core_density_error: 0.128296531519757
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.123652739557197
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0999849988748312
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.138166566143912
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.046184412955022
	max_orbital_radius: 2.69124308278583
	max_surface_roughness: 312.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.48661184986396
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.364234272378
	max_tidal_distortion: 269.0
	max_core_density: 0.844665934622857
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.888494002665482
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.923258734027624
	max_axial_symmetry: 250.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 156.0


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.53369681395743
	mean_surface_roughness: 500.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.32055008757213
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.03595978699453
	mean_tidal_distortion: 28.0
	mean_core_density: 0.946181212625842
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.980642124463098
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.987040162664219
	mean_axial_symmetry: 406.5
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 168.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.501198563445667
	surface_roughness_error: 1.33641310978305
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.40035709731482
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.26731765867037
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0782432105680742
	core_density_error: 0.152872495891184
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.12633289357883
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0836540495134575
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.178717654416121
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.047021271782035
	max_orbital_radius: 2.598235335095
	max_surface_roughness: 471.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.4114640703275
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.16856415992078
	max_tidal_distortion: 29.0
	max_core_density: 0.880204207376111
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.932496573075094
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.954061918618518
	max_axial_symmetry: 453.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 77.0


random

Round ID: 212
Prompt used:
	Choose randomly

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                    13                   19
Actual Qtharri                    21                   13

Accuracy: 0.394
Precision: 0.382
Recall: 0.406
F1 Score: 0.394

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 3.11839228628988
	mean_surface_roughness: 449.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.97948856509942
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 7.24992553671799
	mean_tidal_distortion: 528.5
	mean_core_density: 0.827335153470671
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.78064012490242
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.864902266043937
	mean_axial_symmetry: 517.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 424.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.790063288604147
	surface_roughness_error: 0.959635347410671
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 2.03911745615597
	atmospheric_depth_error: 8.99944442729661
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0722149568995232
	core_density_error: 0.193028495305745
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.217209576216151
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.113490087672889
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.143003496460751
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0634665266104897
	max_orbital_radius: 3.30431930668567
	max_surface_roughness: 405.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 5.15329159449778
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.64108424917491
	max_tidal_distortion: 456.0
	max_core_density: 0.636253737990711
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.586407083797572
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.805023345677025
	max_axial_symmetry: 532.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 481.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 3.18676577094997
	mean_surface_roughness: 536.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 5.0401940963378
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 7.42117752859539
	mean_tidal_distortion: 277.0
	mean_core_density: 0.856017805170348
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.836820083682008
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.889917237696894
	mean_axial_symmetry: 384.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 338.0
	orbital_radius_error: 1.0285912696499
	surface_roughness_error: 0.981580358401695
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 2.69202525991121
	atmospheric_depth_error: 12.4819870213039
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0801748090113098
	core_density_error: 0.169204018864801
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.212061311888803
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.130996183150503
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.126095202129185
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0552539591341652
	max_orbital_radius: 3.46604835398177
	max_surface_roughness: 525.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 5.33271879326537
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.98786409608569
	max_tidal_distortion: 440.0
	max_core_density: 0.707914483930341
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.632111251580278
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.794091955848487
	max_axial_symmetry: 399.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 377.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Fylaran when it should have been Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.62900699376176
	mean_surface_roughness: 232.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.43307614934957
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.22910254457264
	mean_tidal_distortion: 342.0
	mean_core_density: 0.912858525185767
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.96256581543763
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.977373796608513
	mean_axial_symmetry: 225.5
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 218.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.51526692111953
	surface_roughness_error: 1.04642247682282
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.33341666406266
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.51109742745598
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0727530068107154
	core_density_error: 0.128879788950789
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.143909693905588
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0904378239455152
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.132211951048307
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0533666562565053
	max_orbital_radius: 2.7239235502585
	max_surface_roughness: 261.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.53130833738964
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.43470701955018
	max_tidal_distortion: 256.0
	max_core_density: 0.823655382587925
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.852442247037763
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.92656079165354
	max_axial_symmetry: 266.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 271.5


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.6217658325052
	mean_surface_roughness: 285.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.41727311486095
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.20979654142497
	mean_tidal_distortion: 294.0
	mean_core_density: 0.926337631539944
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.973823621065753
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.982501645690256
	mean_axial_symmetry: 257.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 294.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.470425339453563
	surface_roughness_error: 1.13357840487546
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.23895116933639
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.1545156155682
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0748865809073962
	core_density_error: 0.128296531519757
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.123652739557197
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0999849988748312
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.138166566143912
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.046184412955022
	max_orbital_radius: 2.69124308278583
	max_surface_roughness: 312.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.48661184986396
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.364234272378
	max_tidal_distortion: 269.0
	max_core_density: 0.844665934622857
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.888494002665482
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.923258734027624
	max_axial_symmetry: 250.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 156.0


Ensemble Confusion Matrix

Predicted +Predicted -
Actual +1418
Actual -232

Accuracy 0.697, Precision 0.875, Recall 0.438, F1 0.583