Ensemble

Dataset: wisconsin

Models

Model Narratives

anthropic

Round ID: 59
Prompt used:
	Classify a planet as Fylaran if it meets the following criteria:
	
	1. Orbital and Magnetic Characteristics:
	- Mean orbital radius between 2.7 and 3.2
	- Magnetosphere extent greater than 4.5
	- Magnetosphere extent error less than 2.0
	
	2. Surface and Structural Parameters:
	- Surface roughness between 300 and 550
	- Tidal distortion greater than 350
	- Axial symmetry between 250 and 600
	
	3. Complexity Metrics:
	- Ring system complexity between 0.7 and 0.95
	- Impact crater count between 0.84 and 0.94
	
	If a planet does not meet at least 4 out of these 6 conditions, classify it as Qtharri.
	
	Additional guidance:
	- Use precise numerical comparisons
	- Consider both mean values and error margins
	- Look for consistent patterns across multiple parameters

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                    26                    6
Actual Qtharri                     5                   29

Accuracy: 0.833
Precision: 0.839
Recall: 0.812
F1 Score: 0.825

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 3.08831145484708
	mean_surface_roughness: 481.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.94092788167144
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 7.21890970761906
	mean_tidal_distortion: 366.0
	mean_core_density: 0.861623298293986
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.78665827564506
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.884173297966401
	mean_axial_symmetry: 529.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 181.5
	orbital_radius_error: 1.00199800399003
	surface_roughness_error: 0.90598013223249
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 2.52428207615552
	atmospheric_depth_error: 11.7430830704717
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0726842486375143
	core_density_error: 0.197686620690425
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.308512560522258
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.136528385327008
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.154951605348251
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0707248188403477
	max_orbital_radius: 3.2801590532851
	max_surface_roughness: 349.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 5.11379338619888
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.60638738977265
	max_tidal_distortion: 174.0
	max_core_density: 0.759186152444579
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.588546877758813
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.826104915324246
	max_axial_symmetry: 411.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 261.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.83438912314523
	mean_surface_roughness: 476.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.64150211523548
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.68311060154166
	mean_tidal_distortion: 87.0
	mean_core_density: 0.937479492636099
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.968063582416093
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.967838719355806
	mean_axial_symmetry: 74.5
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 117.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.616035713250458
	surface_roughness_error: 1.08949529599719
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.57035027939629
	atmospheric_depth_error: 6.36474665638783
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0634744042902334
	core_density_error: 0.0962756459339536
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.104928547116597
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0871263450398328
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.120830459735946
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0551543289325507
	max_orbital_radius: 3.00518743232475
	max_surface_roughness: 516.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.82671245593533
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.04838640872188
	max_tidal_distortion: 154.0
	max_core_density: 0.865725911176522
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.872676498821887
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.909297567629007
	max_axial_symmetry: 336.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 350.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Fylaran when it should have been Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.72261035243354
	mean_surface_roughness: 545.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.5384960527201
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.43759163693504
	mean_tidal_distortion: 89.0
	mean_core_density: 0.905879155720627
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.900657479960371
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.957781012949199
	mean_axial_symmetry: 11.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 273.5
	orbital_radius_error: 0.57913728942281
	surface_roughness_error: 1.52446712001276
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.45086181285469
	atmospheric_depth_error: 5.4735728733616
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0794166229450737
	core_density_error: 0.16867127793433
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.196214168703486
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.100548495761995
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.108857705285386
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0599082632030006
	max_orbital_radius: 2.81839825827108
	max_surface_roughness: 560.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.63957161270542
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.63987583382654
	max_tidal_distortion: 83.0
	max_core_density: 0.804764204088202
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.765462339252909
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.924052153503544
	max_axial_symmetry: 11.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 250.0


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.41412646772695
	mean_surface_roughness: 211.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.19147127295282
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 5.7497114065446
	mean_tidal_distortion: 434.5
	mean_core_density: 0.921641997382537
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.982627151953463
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.981209831722514
	mean_axial_symmetry: 385.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 483.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.496689037527506
	surface_roughness_error: 1.10317722964173
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.28101522239199
	atmospheric_depth_error: 3.87943294825416
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0888763185556198
	core_density_error: 0.118321595661992
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.092379651439048
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0873155198117723
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.162388423232692
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0613269924258479
	max_orbital_radius: 2.49897390699944
	max_surface_roughness: 199.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.28963718538053
	max_atmospheric_depth: 5.93118361622305
	max_tidal_distortion: 372.5
	max_core_density: 0.874125874125874
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.938332770333671
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.947193937958797
	max_axial_symmetry: 378.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 388.0


openai35

Round ID: 196
Prompt used:
	Add a new rule based on the mean_surface_roughness feature: If mean_surface_roughness is below a certain threshold, predict Fylaran; otherwise, predict Qtharri. This rule aims to improve the classification accuracy and reduce false positives and false negatives in the dataset based on the analysis of previous misclassifications.

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                     4                   28
Actual Qtharri                     2                   32

Accuracy: 0.545
Precision: 0.667
Recall: 0.125
F1 Score: 0.211

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.84723226523555
	mean_surface_roughness: 280.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.69866052907543
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.69220780428956
	mean_tidal_distortion: 443.0
	mean_core_density: 0.847314014573801
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.836960160696351
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.916993727762902
	mean_axial_symmetry: 359.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 443.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.536003731330296
	surface_roughness_error: 0.957757798193259
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.56971334962789
	atmospheric_depth_error: 5.3
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0675499814951862
	core_density_error: 0.186574381949934
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.196773982019981
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.109954536059228
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.117813411800185
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0638827050147378
	max_orbital_radius: 2.97297528643137
	max_surface_roughness: 272.5
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.8512487085848
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.93925394604151
	max_tidal_distortion: 330.5
	max_core_density: 0.67999456004352
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.665513110608279
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.85236958745312
	max_axial_symmetry: 262.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 512.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.80093319524892
	mean_surface_roughness: 10.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.63957161270542
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.60380831406432
	mean_tidal_distortion: 557.0
	mean_core_density: 0.865426222414539
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.831117021276596
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.901144453455889
	mean_axial_symmetry: 433.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 499.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.648768063332344
	surface_roughness_error: 0.811356888181767
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.67481342244442
	atmospheric_depth_error: 6.68131723539603
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0734370478709486
	core_density_error: 0.152348285188905
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.207436737344184
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.114891252930761
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.133865604245452
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0645600495662759
	max_orbital_radius: 2.98517675961447
	max_surface_roughness: 39.5
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.83628190695148
	max_atmospheric_depth: 7.0057890192535
	max_tidal_distortion: 478.5
	max_core_density: 0.736214385629095
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.631711939355654
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.845522955948254
	max_axial_symmetry: 443.5
	max_cloud_turbulence: 483.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Fylaran when it should have been Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.52011290552262
	mean_surface_roughness: 198.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.31294447348644
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 5.98896141688986
	mean_tidal_distortion: 474.5
	mean_core_density: 0.913358785598159
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.980094285070224
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.981730004614131
	mean_axial_symmetry: 165.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 410.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.533197899470731
	surface_roughness_error: 1.38130373198656
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.39176147381654
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.62385120867876
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0816333265278342
	core_density_error: 0.131719398723195
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.107610408418517
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0975704873412037
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.151062900806254
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0593801313572141
	max_orbital_radius: 2.62321826558551
	max_surface_roughness: 342.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.42676096601405
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.22257626807137
	max_tidal_distortion: 380.5
	max_core_density: 0.848032564450475
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.928436142162142
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.939831958045901
	max_axial_symmetry: 179.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 301.0


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.78932292123095
	mean_surface_roughness: 24.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.59683554919803
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.58823848301034
	mean_tidal_distortion: 84.0
	mean_core_density: 0.941353666572531
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.944358402901069
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.969396163129986
	mean_axial_symmetry: 15.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 55.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.461952378498044
	surface_roughness_error: 0.602328813855024
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.23490890352285
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.47213595499958
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0655057249406493
	core_density_error: 0.111175536877498
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.135683455144686
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0858661749468322
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.0976678043164686
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0406939798987516
	max_orbital_radius: 2.91126311692754
	max_surface_roughness: 18.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.74232002413533
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.83915518748988
	max_tidal_distortion: 189.5
	max_core_density: 0.820613819136714
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.771485881808363
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.906207521522429
	max_axial_symmetry: 77.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 192.0


random

Round ID: 212
Prompt used:
	Choose randomly

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Fylaran    Predicted Qtharri   
Actual Fylaran                    13                   19
Actual Qtharri                    21                   13

Accuracy: 0.394
Precision: 0.382
Recall: 0.406
F1 Score: 0.394

Examples for Correctly predicted Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.59076704048748
	mean_surface_roughness: 535.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.40854684448328
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.17044720263642
	mean_tidal_distortion: 400.0
	mean_core_density: 0.880824451686779
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.9021199819576
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.956370383121976
	mean_axial_symmetry: 413.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 488.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.63663176169588
	surface_roughness_error: 1.34499070628759
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.62542302186231
	atmospheric_depth_error: 5.86856030044848
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0953834367172834
	core_density_error: 0.196086715511276
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.193984535466104
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.114934764105557
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.137040140105007
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0753126815350509
	max_orbital_radius: 2.81241021642645
	max_surface_roughness: 558.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.63181211693451
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.646260636284
	max_tidal_distortion: 550.0
	max_core_density: 0.67999456004352
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.693240901213172
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.872676498821887
	max_axial_symmetry: 442.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 544.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Qtharri when it should have been Fylaran: (Correct answer: Fylaran, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.84723226523555
	mean_surface_roughness: 280.5
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.69866052907543
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.69220780428956
	mean_tidal_distortion: 443.0
	mean_core_density: 0.847314014573801
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.836960160696351
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.916993727762902
	mean_axial_symmetry: 359.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 443.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.536003731330296
	surface_roughness_error: 0.957757798193259
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.56971334962789
	atmospheric_depth_error: 5.3
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0675499814951862
	core_density_error: 0.186574381949934
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.196773982019981
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.109954536059228
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.117813411800185
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0638827050147378
	max_orbital_radius: 2.97297528643137
	max_surface_roughness: 272.5
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.8512487085848
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.93925394604151
	max_tidal_distortion: 330.5
	max_core_density: 0.67999456004352
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.665513110608279
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.85236958745312
	max_axial_symmetry: 262.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 512.0


Examples for Falsely predicted Fylaran when it should have been Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Fylaran)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.48240351956988
	mean_surface_roughness: 191.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.28675395416645
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 5.92023703781961
	mean_tidal_distortion: 187.0
	mean_core_density: 0.899847026005579
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.913600774733457
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.965129858222424
	mean_axial_symmetry: 55.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 433.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.507346035758633
	surface_roughness_error: 1.17303026388921
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.67511193655827
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.26028168082816
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0925472852113988
	core_density_error: 0.215360163447189
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.253574446662119
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.132966161108757
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.123125951772971
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0705407683541936
	max_orbital_radius: 2.5922651681085
	max_surface_roughness: 345.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.51239678583574
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.16835471390473
	max_tidal_distortion: 356.0
	max_core_density: 0.710126402499645
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.676635766966642
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.865426222414539
	max_axial_symmetry: 160.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 452.0


Examples for Correctly predicted Qtharri: (Correct answer: Qtharri, What the previous set of rules predicted: Qtharri)
  Entity Data:
	mean_orbital_radius: 2.5687881337687
	mean_surface_roughness: 70.0
	mean_magnetosphere_extent: 4.36995405343961
	mean_atmospheric_depth: 6.10991402730753
	mean_tidal_distortion: 396.5
	mean_core_density: 0.916657500091666
	mean_ring_system_complexity: 0.938156709696788
	mean_impact_crater_count: 0.973245481707851
	mean_axial_symmetry: 190.0
	mean_cloud_turbulence: 232.0
	orbital_radius_error: 0.513419906119737
	surface_roughness_error: 0.854049178911847
	magnetosphere_extent_error: 1.35941163743731
	atmospheric_depth_error: 4.45757781760453
	tidal_distortion_error: 0.0740810367098085
	core_density_error: 0.119457105272144
	ring_system_complexity_error: 0.152381101190404
	impact_crater_count_error: 0.0752329714952161
	axial_symmetry_error: 0.119498953970317
	cloud_turbulence_error: 0.0492138191974571
	max_orbital_radius: 2.69192081917233
	max_surface_roughness: 130.0
	max_magnetosphere_extent: 4.50953995497284
	max_atmospheric_depth: 6.36921581664863
	max_tidal_distortion: 449.0
	max_core_density: 0.822639025995393
	max_ring_system_complexity: 0.766283524904215
	max_impact_crater_count: 0.938544130345009
	max_axial_symmetry: 252.0
	max_cloud_turbulence: 338.0


Ensemble Confusion Matrix

Predicted +Predicted -
Actual +1418
Actual -232

Accuracy 0.697, Precision 0.875, Recall 0.438, F1 0.583