Dataset: titanic
Round ID: 140
Prompt used:
Based on the analysis of the dataset, please follow these explicit and specific rules to predict the outcome:
1. **Treatment Months Rule:**
- If 'Treatment_Months' is less than 10, predict 'Success'.
- If 'Treatment_Months' is between 10 and 65:
- If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Omega' and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 2, predict 'Success'.
- If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Omicron' and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is 1 or less, predict 'Failure'.
- If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta', predict 'Failure' regardless of 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches'.
- Otherwise, predict 'Failure'.
- If 'Treatment_Months' is between 66 and 89:
- If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta', predict 'Failure'.
- If 'Histogen_Complex' is not 'Delta' and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is less than 2, predict 'Failure'.
- If 'Histogen_Complex' is not 'Delta' and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 2, predict 'Success'.
- If 'Treatment_Months' is 90 or more:
- If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta' and 'TcQ_mass' is below 30000, predict 'Failure'.
- If 'Cohort' is 'Melbourne', predict 'Failure' unless 'TcQ_mass' is above 30000 and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 3.
- For 'Cohort: Lisbon', predict 'Failure' if 'Treatment_Months' is greater than 150 with no other criteria met.
- Predict 'Success' only if 'TcQ_mass' is below 15000 or if 'Histogen_Complex' is not 'Delta' and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is above 2.
2. **TcQ_mass Criteria:**
- If 'TcQ_mass' is below 16000 and 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta', predict 'Failure'.
- If 'TcQ_mass' is between 16000 and 30000 and 'Treatment_Months' is over 80, predict 'Success' only if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 2.
- If 'TcQ_mass' is 30000 or more and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 2, predict 'Success'.
3. **Genetic Class Match Rule:**
- If 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is 5 or more, predict 'Success'.
- If 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is equal to 1 or the total with 'Genetic_Class_B_Matches' is less than 3, predict 'Failure'.
- If 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is between 2 and 4 and 'Histogen_Complex' is not 'Delta', predict 'Success' only if 'TcQ_mass' is above 20000.
4. **Cohort Influence:**
- For 'Cohort: Melbourne', predict 'Success' if 'TcQ_mass' is above 30000 and 'Treatment_Months' is below 150; otherwise, predict 'Failure'.
- For 'Cohort: Delhi', predict 'Failure' if 'Treatment_Months' exceeds 105 and 'TcQ_mass' is below 20000 regardless of matches.
- For 'Cohort: Lisbon', predict 'Success' only if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is 2 or more and 'TcQ_mass' is above 30000.
5. **New Enhanced Rule About Histogen Complex:**
- If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Beta' and 'TcQ_mass' is above 50000, predict 'Success' without additional conditions.
- If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Beta' and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is 3 or more, predict 'Success' to reduce false negatives from previously caught errors.
6. **Fallback Condition:**
- If no other rules apply, predict 'Failure' to minimize false positives.
Confusion Matrix:
Predicted Failure Predicted Success
Actual Failure 24 4
Actual Success 12 11
Accuracy: 0.686
Precision: 0.667
Recall: 0.857
F1 Score: 0.750
Examples for Correctly predicted Failure: (Correct answer: Failure, What the previous set of rules predicted: Failure)
Entity Data:
Histogen_Complex: Delta
Sex: female
Treatment_Months: 89.09735294117647
Genetic_Class_A_Matches: 1
Genetic_Class_B_Matches: 1
TcQ_mass: 6950.0
Cohort: Lisbon
Examples for Falsely predicted Success when it should have been Failure: (Correct answer: Failure, What the previous set of rules predicted: Success)
Entity Data:
Histogen_Complex: Beta
Sex: female
Treatment_Months: 89.09735294117647
Genetic_Class_A_Matches: 1
Genetic_Class_B_Matches: 1
TcQ_mass: 221779.2
Cohort: Melbourne
Examples for Falsely predicted Failure when it should have been Success: (Correct answer: Success, What the previous set of rules predicted: Failure)
Entity Data:
Histogen_Complex: Omicron
Sex: male
Treatment_Months: 24.0
Genetic_Class_A_Matches: 1
Genetic_Class_B_Matches: 3
TcQ_mass: 26250.0
Cohort: Melbourne
Examples for Correctly predicted Success: (Correct answer: Success, What the previous set of rules predicted: Success)
Entity Data:
Histogen_Complex: Beta
Sex: female
Treatment_Months: 75.0
Genetic_Class_A_Matches: 2
Genetic_Class_B_Matches: 1
TcQ_mass: 91079.2
Cohort: Delhi
Round ID: 68
Prompt used:
Choose randomly
Confusion Matrix:
Predicted Failure Predicted Success
Actual Failure 16 12
Actual Success 13 10
Accuracy: 0.510
Precision: 0.552
Recall: 0.571
F1 Score: 0.561
Examples for Correctly predicted Failure: (Correct answer: Failure, What the previous set of rules predicted: Failure)
Entity Data:
Histogen_Complex: Omicron
Sex: female
Treatment_Months: 84.0
Genetic_Class_A_Matches: 1
Genetic_Class_B_Matches: 1
TcQ_mass: 13000.0
Cohort: Melbourne
Examples for Falsely predicted Success when it should have been Failure: (Correct answer: Failure, What the previous set of rules predicted: Success)
Entity Data:
Histogen_Complex: Beta
Sex: female
Treatment_Months: 89.09735294117647
Genetic_Class_A_Matches: 1
Genetic_Class_B_Matches: 1
TcQ_mass: 31000.0
Cohort: Melbourne
Examples for Falsely predicted Failure when it should have been Success: (Correct answer: Success, What the previous set of rules predicted: Failure)
Entity Data:
Histogen_Complex: Beta
Sex: male
Treatment_Months: 66.0
Genetic_Class_A_Matches: 2
Genetic_Class_B_Matches: 1
TcQ_mass: 66600.0
Cohort: Melbourne
Examples for Correctly predicted Success: (Correct answer: Success, What the previous set of rules predicted: Success)
Entity Data:
Histogen_Complex: Omicron
Sex: male
Treatment_Months: 24.0
Genetic_Class_A_Matches: 1
Genetic_Class_B_Matches: 3
TcQ_mass: 26250.0
Cohort: Melbourne
Round ID: 116
Prompt used:
Choose randomly
Confusion Matrix:
Predicted Failure Predicted Success
Actual Failure 16 12
Actual Success 14 9
Accuracy: 0.490
Precision: 0.533
Recall: 0.571
F1 Score: 0.552
Examples for Correctly predicted Failure: (Correct answer: Failure, What the previous set of rules predicted: Failure)
Entity Data:
Histogen_Complex: Delta
Sex: female
Treatment_Months: 63.0
Genetic_Class_A_Matches: 1
Genetic_Class_B_Matches: 1
TcQ_mass: 7250.0
Cohort: Melbourne
Examples for Falsely predicted Success when it should have been Failure: (Correct answer: Failure, What the previous set of rules predicted: Success)
Entity Data:
Histogen_Complex: Delta
Sex: female
Treatment_Months: 57.0
Genetic_Class_A_Matches: 1
Genetic_Class_B_Matches: 1
TcQ_mass: 14500.0
Cohort: Melbourne
Examples for Falsely predicted Failure when it should have been Success: (Correct answer: Success, What the previous set of rules predicted: Failure)
Entity Data:
Histogen_Complex: Beta
Sex: male
Treatment_Months: 105.0
Genetic_Class_A_Matches: 2
Genetic_Class_B_Matches: 1
TcQ_mass: 52000.0
Cohort: Melbourne
Examples for Correctly predicted Success: (Correct answer: Success, What the previous set of rules predicted: Success)
Entity Data:
Histogen_Complex: Delta
Sex: female
Treatment_Months: 135.0
Genetic_Class_A_Matches: 1
Genetic_Class_B_Matches: 1
TcQ_mass: 8050.000000000001
Cohort: Melbourne
| Predicted + | Predicted - | |
|---|---|---|
| Actual + | 21 | 7 |
| Actual - | 14 | 9 |
Accuracy 0.588, Precision 0.600, Recall 0.750, F1 0.667