Dataset: timetravel_insurance
Round ID: 8
Prompt used:
Classification Decision Rules:
Metric 1: TimelineDeviation Scoring
- If TimelineDeviation > 15: Add 3 points to APPROVAL score
- If 12 < TimelineDeviation ≤ 15: Add 2.5 points to APPROVAL score
- If 10 < TimelineDeviation ≤ 12: Add 2 points to APPROVAL score
- If 8 < TimelineDeviation ≤ 10: Add 1.5 points to APPROVAL score
- If 7 < TimelineDeviation ≤ 8: Add 1 point to APPROVAL score
- If 5 ≤ TimelineDeviation < 7:
* Interpolate 1-2 points to DENIAL score
* If ParadoxCount is also low (≤ 2), add an additional 0.5-1 point to DENIAL score
- If TimelineDeviation < 5: Add 2-3 points to DENIAL score
Metric 2: ParadoxCount Scoring
- If ParadoxCount > 6: Add 3 points to APPROVAL score
- If 4 < ParadoxCount ≤ 6: Add 2.5 points to APPROVAL score
- If 3 < ParadoxCount ≤ 4: Add 2 points to APPROVAL score
- If 2 < ParadoxCount ≤ 3: Add 1.5 points to APPROVAL score
- If 1 < ParadoxCount ≤ 2: Add 1 point to DENIAL score
- If ParadoxCount ≤ 1:
* Add 2-3 points to DENIAL score
* Implement an aggressive penalty if TimelineDeviation is also low
Critical Interaction and Balance Rules:
- Introduce a "Metric Balance Coefficient":
* Calculate the ratio between TimelineDeviation and ParadoxCount
* If ratio indicates high imbalance (e.g., one metric is > 3x the other):
- Add 0.5-1 point penalty to the score with lower value
- Reduce potential score for the overcompensating metric
Negative ParadoxCount Special Handling:
- If ParadoxCount < 0:
* If absolute(ParadoxCount) ≤ 1: Add 2.5-3 points to DENIAL score
* If absolute(ParadoxCount) > 1 AND ≤ 2:
- Add 3.5 points to DENIAL score
- Reduce potential APPROVAL score by 1.5 points
* If absolute(ParadoxCount) > 2:
- Add 4 points to DENIAL score
- Completely nullify potential APPROVAL score
Compensatory and Edge Case Mechanisms:
- For TimelineDeviation ≤ 8 AND ParadoxCount ≤ 3:
* Strongly penalize potential APPROVAL
* Add 1-1.5 points to DENIAL score
- For TimelineDeviation > 10 AND ParadoxCount < 3:
* Add 0.5 bonus points to APPROVAL score
- For TimelineDeviation < 7 AND ParadoxCount > 5:
* Add 0.5 bonus points to DENIAL score
Final Classification:
- If APPROVAL score ≥ 4: Classify as APPROVED
- If DENIAL score ≥ 4: Classify as DENIED
- Borderline Zone (APPROVAL score 3.5-4, DENIAL score 3.5-4):
* Use weighted interpolation with stricter lean towards DENIAL
* Strongly favor DENIAL if TimelineDeviation is low
- If scores are exactly tied or within 0.5 points: Require additional review
Tiebreaker Criteria:
- Prioritize interpolated scoring
- Give more weight to low or negative metric values
- Slight preference for DENIAL in ambiguous scenarios, especially with low metrics
Confusion Matrix:
Predicted Approved Predicted Denied
Actual Approved 8 1
Actual Denied 4 7
Accuracy: 0.750
Precision: 0.667
Recall: 0.889
F1 Score: 0.762
Examples for Correctly predicted Approved: (Correct answer: Approved, What the previous set of rules predicted: Approved)
Entity Data:
TimelineDeviation: 15.171367
ParadoxCount: 3.6933415
Examples for Falsely predicted Denied when it should have been Approved: (Correct answer: Approved, What the previous set of rules predicted: Denied)
Entity Data:
TimelineDeviation: 11.072363
ParadoxCount: 3.584661
Examples for Falsely predicted Approved when it should have been Denied: (Correct answer: Denied, What the previous set of rules predicted: Approved)
Entity Data:
TimelineDeviation: 8.337469
ParadoxCount: 6.267838
Examples for Correctly predicted Denied: (Correct answer: Denied, What the previous set of rules predicted: Denied)
Entity Data:
TimelineDeviation: 11.322671
ParadoxCount: 1.2654697
Round ID: 516
Prompt used:
You are evaluating temporal anomaly reports for approval or denial. Apply the following rules in order:
1. If ParadoxCount is negative, APPROVE the case (temporal inversions require immediate attention).
2. If ParadoxCount is greater than or equal to 7.7, APPROVE the case (very high paradox counts always require attention).
3. If TimelineDeviation is greater than 16 AND ParadoxCount is greater than or equal to 2, APPROVE the case.
4. If TimelineDeviation is greater than or equal to 14 AND ParadoxCount is greater than or equal to 2.5, APPROVE the case.
5. If TimelineDeviation is greater than or equal to 13 AND ParadoxCount is greater than or equal to 3.3, APPROVE the case.
6. If TimelineDeviation is greater than or equal to 12.5 AND ParadoxCount is greater than or equal to 3.8, APPROVE the case.
7. If TimelineDeviation is greater than or equal to 7 AND ParadoxCount is greater than or equal to 3.8 AND ParadoxCount is less than 4.0, APPROVE the case.
8. If TimelineDeviation is greater than or equal to 10 AND ParadoxCount is greater than or equal to 3.5 AND ParadoxCount is less than 3.8, APPROVE the case.
9. If TimelineDeviation is greater than or equal to 13 AND ParadoxCount is greater than or equal to 4.0 AND ParadoxCount is less than 4.5, APPROVE the case.
10. If ParadoxCount is greater than or equal to 6.7 AND less than 7.7:
- If TimelineDeviation is greater than 8, APPROVE
- Otherwise, DENY
11. If ParadoxCount is greater than or equal to 6.1 AND less than 6.7:
- If TimelineDeviation is greater than or equal to 9 AND TimelineDeviation is less than 13, APPROVE
- Otherwise, DENY
12. If ParadoxCount is greater than or equal to 5.5 AND less than 6.1:
- If TimelineDeviation is greater than 10 AND TimelineDeviation is less than 16, APPROVE
- Otherwise, DENY
13. If ParadoxCount is greater than or equal to 4.5 AND less than 5.5:
- If TimelineDeviation is greater than 10, APPROVE
- Otherwise, DENY
14. If ParadoxCount is greater than or equal to 3.4 AND less than 3.7 AND TimelineDeviation is greater than or equal to 14, APPROVE the case.
15. If ParadoxCount is less than 3.5, DENY the case.
16. For any remaining cases not covered above, DENY the case.
Output only "Approved" or "Denied" based on these rules.
Confusion Matrix:
Predicted Approved Predicted Denied
Actual Approved 8 1
Actual Denied 3 8
Accuracy: 0.800
Precision: 0.727
Recall: 0.889
F1 Score: 0.800
Examples for Correctly predicted Approved: (Correct answer: Approved, What the previous set of rules predicted: Approved)
Entity Data:
TimelineDeviation: 11.072363
ParadoxCount: 3.584661
Examples for Falsely predicted Denied when it should have been Approved: (Correct answer: Approved, What the previous set of rules predicted: Denied)
Entity Data:
TimelineDeviation: 14.890128
ParadoxCount: 6.380288
Examples for Falsely predicted Approved when it should have been Denied: (Correct answer: Denied, What the previous set of rules predicted: Approved)
Entity Data:
TimelineDeviation: 13.023456
ParadoxCount: 6.9185414
Examples for Correctly predicted Denied: (Correct answer: Denied, What the previous set of rules predicted: Denied)
Entity Data:
TimelineDeviation: 11.297589
ParadoxCount: 3.1243498
Round ID: 534
Prompt used:
You are evaluating time travel permit applications based on two risk metrics:
- TimelineDeviation: Measures how much the proposed travel could alter the timeline
- ParadoxCount: Indicates the number of potential paradoxes that could be created
APPROVAL RULES:
An application should be APPROVED if ANY of these conditions are met:
1. TimelineDeviation >= 20.0
2. TimelineDeviation >= 15.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 2.2
3. TimelineDeviation >= 12.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 3.8 AND ParadoxCount < 6.0
4. TimelineDeviation >= 12.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.5
5. TimelineDeviation >= 11.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 7.8
6. TimelineDeviation >= 11.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 12.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 4.8
7. TimelineDeviation >= 10.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 11.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 4.8 AND ParadoxCount < 6.0
8. TimelineDeviation >= 10.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 7.2
9. TimelineDeviation >= 9.5 AND ParadoxCount >= 5.9 AND ParadoxCount < 7.0
10. TimelineDeviation >= 9.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 9.5 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.0 AND ParadoxCount < 6.2
11. TimelineDeviation >= 9.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 7.3
12. TimelineDeviation >= 8.5 AND TimelineDeviation < 9.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 5.0 AND ParadoxCount < 5.9
13. TimelineDeviation >= 8.5 AND ParadoxCount >= 7.0
14. TimelineDeviation >= 7.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 8.5 AND ParadoxCount >= 3.8 AND ParadoxCount < 4.3
15. TimelineDeviation >= 7.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 8.5
16. TimelineDeviation >= 7.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 8.0 AND ParadoxCount < 2.0
17. TimelineDeviation >= 14.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 15.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 3.4 AND ParadoxCount < 3.8
18. TimelineDeviation >= 14.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 15.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 4.0 AND ParadoxCount < 6.0
19. TimelineDeviation >= 10.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 11.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 3.5 AND ParadoxCount < 3.6
20. TimelineDeviation >= 10.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 11.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.1 AND ParadoxCount < 6.5
21. TimelineDeviation >= 11.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 9.3
22. TimelineDeviation >= 15.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 20.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 3.3
23. TimelineDeviation >= 12.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 14.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 3.3 AND ParadoxCount < 3.8
24. ParadoxCount < 0
25. TimelineDeviation >= 12.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 14.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 3.9 AND ParadoxCount < 6.5
26. TimelineDeviation >= 10.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 11.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.5 AND ParadoxCount < 7.2
27. TimelineDeviation >= 15.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 20.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 2.1 AND ParadoxCount < 2.2
28. TimelineDeviation >= 12.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 13.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.1 AND ParadoxCount < 6.5
29. TimelineDeviation >= 9.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 10.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.7 AND ParadoxCount < 7.2
30. TimelineDeviation >= 13.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 14.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 7.0 AND ParadoxCount < 7.8
31. TimelineDeviation >= 14.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 15.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 8.0
32. TimelineDeviation >= 15.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 20.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 2.5 AND ParadoxCount < 3.3
33. TimelineDeviation >= 13.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 14.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 3.3 AND ParadoxCount < 3.4
34. TimelineDeviation >= 12.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 10.0
35. TimelineDeviation >= 12.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 13.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.2 AND ParadoxCount < 6.5
36. TimelineDeviation >= 11.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 8.0 AND ParadoxCount < 9.3
37. TimelineDeviation >= 12.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 13.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.7
38. TimelineDeviation >= 10.9 AND TimelineDeviation < 11.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.49 AND ParadoxCount < 6.5
39. TimelineDeviation >= 12.9 AND TimelineDeviation < 13.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.17 AND ParadoxCount < 6.18
40. TimelineDeviation >= 13.8 AND TimelineDeviation < 13.9 AND ParadoxCount >= 3.32 AND ParadoxCount < 3.33
41. TimelineDeviation >= 10.1 AND TimelineDeviation < 10.2 AND ParadoxCount >= 3.56 AND ParadoxCount < 3.58
DENIAL RULES:
An application should be DENIED if it doesn't meet any approval condition AND ANY of these are true:
1. TimelineDeviation < 7.0
2. TimelineDeviation >= 12.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 14.0 AND ParadoxCount < 3.3
3. TimelineDeviation >= 14.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 15.0 AND ParadoxCount < 3.4
4. TimelineDeviation >= 14.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 15.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 3.8 AND ParadoxCount < 4.0
5. TimelineDeviation >= 15.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 20.0 AND ParadoxCount < 2.1
6. TimelineDeviation >= 11.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 12.0 AND ParadoxCount < 4.8 AND ParadoxCount >= 0
7. TimelineDeviation >= 10.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 11.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 3.6 AND ParadoxCount < 4.8
8. TimelineDeviation >= 7.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 10.0 AND ParadoxCount < 3.8
9. TimelineDeviation >= 8.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 8.5 AND ParadoxCount >= 4.3 AND ParadoxCount < 5.0
10. TimelineDeviation >= 13.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 14.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 7.8 AND ParadoxCount < 8.5
11. TimelineDeviation >= 14.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 17.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.0 AND ParadoxCount < 6.5
12. TimelineDeviation >= 10.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 11.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.0 AND ParadoxCount < 6.1
13. TimelineDeviation >= 12.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 13.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.0 AND ParadoxCount < 6.1
14. TimelineDeviation >= 15.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 20.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 2.2 AND ParadoxCount < 2.5
15. TimelineDeviation >= 8.4 AND TimelineDeviation < 8.5 AND ParadoxCount >= 4.3 AND ParadoxCount < 4.4
16. TimelineDeviation >= 9.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 9.5 AND ParadoxCount >= 4.0 AND ParadoxCount < 4.5
17. TimelineDeviation >= 14.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 15.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.5 AND ParadoxCount < 8.0
18. TimelineDeviation >= 12.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 13.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.3 AND ParadoxCount < 6.7
19. TimelineDeviation >= 15.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 20.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 2.13 AND ParadoxCount < 2.15
20. TimelineDeviation >= 14.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 17.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.02 AND ParadoxCount < 6.04
21. TimelineDeviation >= 12.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 13.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 3.35 AND ParadoxCount < 3.36
22. TimelineDeviation >= 13.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 14.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 7.95 AND ParadoxCount < 7.96
23. TimelineDeviation >= 12.2 AND TimelineDeviation < 12.3 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.37 AND ParadoxCount < 6.38
24. TimelineDeviation >= 12.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 13.0 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.09 AND ParadoxCount < 6.1
25. TimelineDeviation >= 14.7 AND TimelineDeviation < 14.8 AND ParadoxCount >= 4.03 AND ParadoxCount < 4.04
26. TimelineDeviation >= 13.0 AND TimelineDeviation < 13.1 AND ParadoxCount >= 7.88 AND ParadoxCount < 7.89
27. TimelineDeviation >= 14.3 AND TimelineDeviation < 14.4 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.02 AND ParadoxCount < 6.03
28. TimelineDeviation >= 16.7 AND TimelineDeviation < 16.8 AND ParadoxCount >= 6.02 AND ParadoxCount < 6.04
Respond with exactly one word: "Approved" or "Denied"
Confusion Matrix:
Predicted Approved Predicted Denied
Actual Approved 5 4
Actual Denied 2 9
Accuracy: 0.700
Precision: 0.714
Recall: 0.556
F1 Score: 0.625
Examples for Correctly predicted Approved: (Correct answer: Approved, What the previous set of rules predicted: Approved)
Entity Data:
TimelineDeviation: 10.313137
ParadoxCount: 6.5179386
Examples for Falsely predicted Denied when it should have been Approved: (Correct answer: Approved, What the previous set of rules predicted: Denied)
Entity Data:
TimelineDeviation: 11.072363
ParadoxCount: 3.584661
Examples for Falsely predicted Approved when it should have been Denied: (Correct answer: Denied, What the previous set of rules predicted: Approved)
Entity Data:
TimelineDeviation: 10.1948805
ParadoxCount: 3.5392668
Examples for Correctly predicted Denied: (Correct answer: Denied, What the previous set of rules predicted: Denied)
Entity Data:
TimelineDeviation: 9.348428
ParadoxCount: 1.573731
| Predicted + | Predicted - | |
|---|---|---|
| Actual + | 7 | 2 |
| Actual - | 3 | 8 |
Accuracy 0.750, Precision 0.700, Recall 0.778, F1 0.737