Ensemble

Dataset: southgermancredit

Models

Model Narratives

anthropic37

Round ID: 321
Prompt used:
	CORAL REEF HEALTH ASSESSMENT RULES
	
	Analyze the provided data for each coral reef and classify it as either "Healthy" or "Stressed" based on the following set of rules. Apply these rules in sequence.
	
	PRIMARY INDICATORS (These take precedence):
	
	1. If BiodiversityIndex is "Very High" AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Excellent" AND CurrentFlowQuality is "Excellent" or "Good", classify as HEALTHY regardless of other factors, UNLESS:
	   - AcousticIntensity > 950 in ANY ReefDepthZone
	   - PollutionLevel is "Critical" AND BleachingEventsPerYear is "Constant" AND ReefDepthZone is "Shallow" AND AlgalCoverage is "Heavy" or "Extensive"
	
	2. If CurrentFlowQuality is "Poor" AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Poor" or "Very Poor" AND BiodiversityIndex is "Low", classify as STRESSED.
	
	3. If BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High" AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Good" or "Excellent", classify as HEALTHY, UNLESS:
	   - PollutionLevel is "Critical" AND BleachingEventsPerYear is "Constant" AND ReefDepthZone is "Shallow" AND AlgalCoverage is "Heavy" or "Extensive"
	   - AcousticIntensity > 900 in "Shallow" ReefDepthZone AND PollutionLevel is "Critical"
	
	HIGH BIODIVERSITY WITH POOR FLOW INDICATORS:
	
	4. If BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High" AND CurrentFlowQuality is "Poor" BUT ReefDepthZone is "Mid-depth" or "Deep" AND AcousticIntensity < 500, classify as HEALTHY, unless PollutionLevel is "Critical" AND AlgalCoverage is "Heavy" or "Extensive".
	
	5. If BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High" AND CurrentFlowQuality is "Poor" BUT ReefIntegrityScore is "Moderate" or better AND AcousticIntensity < 400, classify as HEALTHY, even if ReefDepthZone is "Shallow".
	
	BIODIVERSITY RESILIENCE INDICATORS:
	
	6. If BiodiversityIndex is "High" AND ANY of these additional resilience factors are present:
	   - ReefDepthZone is "Deep" or "Mid-depth" AND AcousticIntensity < 700
	   - CurrentFlowQuality is "Excellent" or "Good" AND AlgalCoverage is NOT "Extensive"
	   - ReefIntegrityScore is "Good" or "Excellent" AND PollutionLevel is NOT "Critical"
	   - ReefAverageAge > 30 AND PollutionLevel is NOT "Critical"
	   THEN classify as HEALTHY, even if BleachingEventsPerYear is "Constant" or "Frequent".
	
	7. If BiodiversityIndex is "Medium" AND THREE OR MORE of these resilience factors are present:
	   - CurrentFlowQuality is "Excellent" or "Good"
	   - ReefIntegrityScore is "Good" or "Excellent" or "Moderate"
	   - ReefDepthZone is "Mid-depth" or "Deep" AND AcousticIntensity < 650
	   - AlgalCoverage is "Minimal" or "Sparse"
	   - ReefAverageAge > 25
	   - PollutionLevel is "Low" or "Moderate"
	   - SurveyorExperience is "Yes" AND ObservationDuration > 60
	   - NearbyHealthyReef is "Adjacent" or "Nearby"
	   THEN classify as HEALTHY, even if BleachingEventsPerYear is "Constant".
	
	MEDIUM BIODIVERSITY ADDITIONAL CASES:
	
	8. If BiodiversityIndex is "Medium" AND CurrentFlowQuality is "Fair" AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Moderate" or better AND ReefAverageAge > 25 AND AlgalCoverage is "Minimal" or "Sparse", classify as HEALTHY, unless PollutionLevel is "Critical" AND AcousticIntensity > 700 AND ReefDepthZone is "Shallow".
	
	9. If BiodiversityIndex is "Medium" AND BleachingEventsPerYear is "Constant" or "Frequent" but AlgalCoverage is "Minimal" AND PollutionLevel is NOT "Critical", classify as HEALTHY, even if ReefDepthZone is "Shallow", IF ReefAverageAge > 25.
	
	10. If BiodiversityIndex is "Medium" AND CurrentFlowQuality is "Poor" BUT AlgalCoverage is "Minimal" AND ReefAverageAge > 30 AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Moderate" or better, classify as HEALTHY, unless AcousticIntensity > 700.
	
	ACOUSTIC INTENSITY SPECIAL CASES:
	
	11. If AcousticIntensity is between 500-800 AND ReefDepthZone is "Mid-depth" AND BiodiversityIndex is "Medium" or better AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Good" or "Excellent" AND AlgalCoverage is "Minimal", classify as HEALTHY, unless PollutionLevel is "Critical".
	
	12. If AcousticIntensity is between 500-700 AND ReefDepthZone is "Deep" AND BiodiversityIndex is "Medium" or better AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Moderate" or better, classify as HEALTHY, unless PollutionLevel is "Critical" AND AlgalCoverage is "Heavy" or "Extensive".
	
	DEPTH AND FLOW PROTECTIONS:
	
	13. If ReefDepthZone is "Deep" AND AcousticIntensity < 750 AND BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High" AND ReefIntegrityScore is NOT "Poor" or "Very Poor", classify as HEALTHY, UNLESS PollutionLevel is "Critical" AND AlgalCoverage is "Extensive".
	
	14. If CurrentFlowQuality is "Excellent" AND AlgalCoverage is "Minimal" AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Moderate" or better, classify as HEALTHY, even if BiodiversityIndex is "Medium" (addressing a common false negative pattern).
	
	15. If BiodiversityIndex is "Medium" AND ReefDepthZone is "Mid-depth" or "Deep" AND AcousticIntensity < 500 AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Moderate" or better, classify as HEALTHY, even with BleachingEventsPerYear "Constant" (indicates depth protection).
	
	16. If CurrentFlowQuality is "Poor" BUT ReefDepthZone is "Deep" AND BiodiversityIndex is "High" AND AcousticIntensity < 700, classify as HEALTHY (depth compensates for poor flow).
	
	17. If CurrentFlowQuality is "Poor" BUT ReefIntegrityScore is "Good" or "Excellent" AND AlgalCoverage is "Minimal" AND ReefDepthZone is "Mid-depth" or "Deep", classify as HEALTHY, unless PollutionLevel is "Critical".
	
	18. If CurrentFlowQuality is "Poor" BUT AlgalCoverage is "Minimal" AND BiodiversityIndex is "Medium" AND ReefAverageAge > 40, classify as HEALTHY, even if ReefDepthZone is "Shallow" AND AcousticIntensity < 500.
	
	PREDATOR BALANCE INDICATORS:
	
	19. If PredatorActivityLevel is "Moderate Low" or "Moderate High" or "High" AND BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High" AND ReefIntegrityScore is NOT "Poor" or "Very Poor", classify as HEALTHY (indicates a balanced ecosystem).
	
	20. If PredatorActivityLevel is "Very Low" AND BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High" AND ReefAverageAge > 30, classify as HEALTHY (indicates long-term resilience).
	
	21. If PredatorActivityLevel is "Severe" BUT ReefIntegrityScore is "Good" or "Excellent" AND BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High" AND (ReefDepthZone is "Mid-depth" OR ReefDepthZone is "Deep"), classify as HEALTHY regardless of PollutionLevel.
	
	22. If PredatorActivityLevel is "Severe" BUT ReefIntegrityScore is "Excellent" AND BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High" AND AlgalCoverage is "Minimal", classify as HEALTHY regardless of ReefDepthZone, unless PollutionLevel is "Critical" AND AcousticIntensity > 800.
	
	ACOUSTIC INTENSITY CONSIDERATIONS:
	
	23. If AcousticIntensity > 900 in ANY ReefDepthZone, classify as STRESSED, UNLESS ALL of the following are true:
	    - BiodiversityIndex is "Very High"
	    - ReefIntegrityScore is "Excellent"
	    - AlgalCoverage is "Minimal"
	    - CurrentFlowQuality is "Excellent" or "Good"
	
	24. If AcousticIntensity between 600-900 in "Shallow" ReefDepthZone BUT AlgalCoverage is "Minimal" AND BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High" AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Good" or "Excellent", classify as HEALTHY, unless PollutionLevel is "Critical".
	
	25. If AcousticIntensity > 1000 in ANY ReefDepthZone, classify as STRESSED regardless of other factors.
	
	26. If AcousticIntensity > 800 in "Mid-depth" or "Deep" ReefDepthZone AND BiodiversityIndex is NOT "Very High", classify as STRESSED unless CurrentFlowQuality is "Excellent" AND AlgalCoverage is "Minimal".
	
	POLLUTION RESILIENCE INDICATORS:
	
	27. If PollutionLevel is "High" or "Critical" BUT ALL of these factors are present:
	    - ReefDepthZone is "Deep" 
	    - BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High"
	    - AcousticIntensity < 700
	    - AlgalCoverage is "Minimal" or "Sparse"
	    THEN classify as HEALTHY (deep reefs can withstand higher pollution).
	
	28. If PollutionLevel is "High" BUT ALL of these factors are present:
	    - BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Medium"
	    - ReefIntegrityScore is "Good" or "Excellent"
	    - CurrentFlowQuality is "Excellent" or "Good"
	    - ReefDepthZone is "Mid-depth" or "Deep"
	    THEN classify as HEALTHY, unless AcousticIntensity > 750.
	
	29. If PollutionLevel is "High" BUT ALL of these factors are present:
	    - ReefIntegrityScore is "Excellent"
	    - AlgalCoverage is "Minimal"
	    - BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High"
	    - ObservationDuration > 60 AND SurveyorExperience is "Yes"
	    THEN classify as HEALTHY, unless AcousticIntensity > 800 or BleachingEventsPerYear is "Constant" AND ReefDepthZone is "Shallow".
	
	30. If PollutionLevel is "Critical" BUT ReefDepthZone is "Deep" AND AcousticIntensity < 500 AND BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High" AND AlgalCoverage is "Minimal", classify as HEALTHY.
	
	STRESS COMBINATIONS:
	
	31. If BiodiversityIndex is "Medium" or "Low" AND THREE OR MORE of these conditions are true, classify as STRESSED:
	    - CurrentFlowQuality is "Poor"
	    - AlgalCoverage is "Heavy" or "Extensive"
	    - BleachingEventsPerYear is "Frequent" or "Constant" AND ReefDepthZone is "Shallow" AND ReefAverageAge < 25
	    - PollutionLevel is "High" or "Critical" AND CurrentFlowQuality is NOT "Excellent"
	    - ReefIntegrityScore is "Poor" or "Very Poor"
	    - AcousticIntensity > 750 in "Shallow" ReefDepthZone
	    - ReefAverageAge < 20
	
	32. If BleachingEventsPerYear is "Constant" AND PollutionLevel is "Critical" AND BiodiversityIndex is "Low", classify as STRESSED.
	
	33. If AcousticIntensity > 850 in "Shallow" ReefDepthZone AND (BleachingEventsPerYear is "Constant" OR PollutionLevel is "Critical"), classify as STRESSED, UNLESS BiodiversityIndex is "Very High" AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Excellent" AND AlgalCoverage is "Minimal".
	
	34. If BleachingEventsPerYear is "Constant" AND BiodiversityIndex is "High" AND ReefDepthZone is "Shallow" AND BOTH of these are true:
	    - PollutionLevel is "High" or "Critical"
	    - AlgalCoverage is "Heavy" or "Extensive"
	    THEN classify as STRESSED.
	
	35. If ReefIntegrityScore is "Very Poor" AND CurrentFlowQuality is NOT "Excellent" AND (PollutionLevel is "High" or "Critical" OR AcousticIntensity > 700), classify as STRESSED regardless of biodiversity.
	
	YOUNG CORAL CONSIDERATIONS:
	
	36. If ReefAverageAge < 20 AND BiodiversityIndex is "Low" or "Medium" AND (PollutionLevel is "High" or "Critical" OR CurrentFlowQuality is "Poor"), classify as STRESSED unless THREE OR MORE positive factors from rule 40 are present.
	
	37. If CoralAgeEstimate < 15 BUT AlgalCoverage is "Minimal" AND CurrentFlowQuality is "Good" or "Excellent" AND BiodiversityIndex is "Medium" or better, classify as HEALTHY, unless PollutionLevel is "Critical".
	
	38. If CoralAgeEstimate < 15 AND BleachingEventsPerYear is "Constant" AND ReefDepthZone is "Shallow", classify as STRESSED unless BiodiversityIndex is "Very High" AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Excellent" AND AlgalCoverage is "Minimal".
	
	LONG OBSERVATION CONSIDERATIONS:
	
	39. If ObservationDuration > 80 AND SurveyorExperience is "Yes" AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Good" or "Excellent" AND AlgalCoverage is "Minimal" or "Sparse", classify as HEALTHY, unless:
	    - PollutionLevel is "Critical" AND BleachingEventsPerYear is "Constant" AND ReefDepthZone is "Shallow" 
	    - AcousticIntensity > 900 in "Shallow" ReefDepthZone
	    - ReefIntegrityScore is "Very Poor"
	
	40. If THREE OR MORE of these conditions are true, classify as HEALTHY:
	    - CurrentFlowQuality is "Excellent" 
	    - AlgalCoverage is "Minimal"
	    - BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High"
	    - ReefIntegrityScore is "Good" or "Excellent"
	    - ReefMonitoringDuration is "> 6 years" AND SurveyorExperience is "Yes"
	    - ReefAverageAge > 35
	    - NearbyHealthyReef is "Adjacent" or "Nearby"
	    - PollutionLevel is "Low"
	    - ReefDepthZone is "Deep" AND AcousticIntensity < 600
	
	41. If ObservationDuration > 60 AND SurveyorExperience is "Yes" AND AlgalCoverage is "Minimal", classify as HEALTHY, unless THREE OR MORE negative conditions from rule 31 are present.
	
	EXPERT ASSESSMENT WEIGHT:
	
	42. If ObservationDuration is > 70 AND SurveyorExperience is "Yes" AND ReefMonitoringDuration is "> 6 years", then:
	    - If they identified three or more positive factors (Good/Excellent CurrentFlowQuality, Minimal/Sparse AlgalCoverage, High/Very High BiodiversityIndex, Good/Excellent ReefIntegrityScore), classify as HEALTHY
	    - If they identified three or more negative factors (Poor CurrentFlowQuality, Extensive AlgalCoverage, Constant BleachingEventsPerYear with Shallow ReefDepthZone, Critical PollutionLevel, Poor/Very Poor ReefIntegrityScore), classify as STRESSED
	
	BLEACHING EVENT CONSIDERATIONS:
	
	43. If BleachingEventsPerYear is "Constant" BUT ALL of these factors are present:
	    - ReefDepthZone is "Mid-depth" or "Deep"
	    - BiodiversityIndex is "High" 
	    - ReefIntegrityScore is "Good" or "Excellent"
	    - ReefAverageAge > 30
	    THEN classify as HEALTHY (deep reef with high biodiversity can withstand bleaching).
	
	44. If BleachingEventsPerYear is "Constant" AND ReefDepthZone is "Shallow" BUT AlgalCoverage is "Minimal" AND PollutionLevel is "Low" or "Moderate" AND BiodiversityIndex is "Medium" or better AND CurrentFlowQuality is "Good" or "Excellent", classify as HEALTHY.
	
	DEFAULT RULE:
	
	45. If none of the above rules provide a clear classification, evaluate the presence of positive vs. negative factors:
	    - Count positive factors (weighted): 
	      * Excellent CurrentFlowQuality (3 points)
	      * Good CurrentFlowQuality (2 points)
	      * Fair CurrentFlowQuality (1 point)
	      * Minimal AlgalCoverage (3 points)
	      * Sparse AlgalCoverage (1 point)
	      * Very High BiodiversityIndex (4 points)
	      * High BiodiversityIndex (3 points)
	      * Medium BiodiversityIndex (1 point)
	      * Excellent ReefIntegrityScore (3 points)
	      * Good ReefIntegrityScore (2 points)
	      * Moderate ReefIntegrityScore (1 point)
	      * ReefAverageAge > 35 (2 points)
	      * ReefAverageAge > 25 (1 point)
	      * NearbyHealthyReef present (1 point)
	      * Low PollutionLevel (2 points)
	      * Moderate PollutionLevel (1 point)
	      * ReefDepthZone "Deep" (3 points)
	      * ReefDepthZone "Mid-depth" (2 points)
	      * AcousticIntensity < 400 in any zone (2 points)
	      * ObservationDuration > 70 AND SurveyorExperience is "Yes" (2 points)
	      * PredatorActivityLevel "Moderate Low" or "Moderate High" (1 point)
	    
	    - Count negative factors (weighted):
	      * Poor CurrentFlowQuality (3 points)
	      * Fair CurrentFlowQuality paired with BleachingEventsPerYear "Constant" AND ReefDepthZone "Shallow" (2 points)
	      * Extensive AlgalCoverage (3 points)
	      * Heavy AlgalCoverage (2 points)
	      * Constant BleachingEventsPerYear AND ReefDepthZone "Shallow" (3 points)
	      * Constant BleachingEventsPerYear AND ReefDepthZone "Mid-depth" (1 point)
	      * Frequent BleachingEventsPerYear AND ReefDepthZone "Shallow" (2 points)
	      * Critical PollutionLevel (3 points)
	      * High PollutionLevel (2 points)
	      * Poor/Very Poor ReefIntegrityScore (3 points)
	      * AcousticIntensity > 850 in Shallow zone (3 points)
	      * AcousticIntensity > 650 in Shallow zone (2 points)
	      * AcousticIntensity > 1000 in any zone (3 points)
	      * Low BiodiversityIndex (2 points)
	      * CoralAgeEstimate < 15 AND BleachingEventsPerYear "Constant" (2 points)
	      * PredatorActivityLevel "Catastrophic" (2 points)
	    
	    - If positive factor points > negative factor points, classify as HEALTHY
	    - Otherwise, classify as STRESSED

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Healthy    Predicted Stressed  
Actual Healthy                    49                   39
Actual Stressed                   11                   14

Accuracy: 0.558
Precision: 0.817
Recall: 0.557
F1 Score: 0.662

Examples for Correctly predicted Healthy: (Correct answer: Healthy, What the previous set of rules predicted: Healthy)
  Entity Data:
	CurrentFlowQuality: Good
	ObservationDuration: 52
	ReefIntegrityScore: Moderate
	PredatorActivityLevel: High
	AcousticIntensity: 41.2
	AlgalCoverage: Minimal
	CoralAgeEstimate: 11
	BleachingEventsPerYear: Constant
	BiodiversityIndex: Medium
	NearbyHealthyReef: Absent
	ReefMonitoringDuration: > 6 years
	PollutionLevel: Moderate
	ReefAverageAge: 26
	DistantStressIndicators: Confirmed
	ReefDepthZone: Shallow
	PreviousStressIncidents: None
	CoralDominantType: Encrusting
	SurveyorExperience: Yes
	RemoteSensorPresent: Yes
	InvasiveSpeciesDetected: Yes


Examples for Falsely predicted Stressed when it should have been Healthy: (Correct answer: Healthy, What the previous set of rules predicted: Stressed)
  Entity Data:
	CurrentFlowQuality: Excellent
	ObservationDuration: 43
	ReefIntegrityScore: Excellent
	PredatorActivityLevel: None
	AcousticIntensity: 70.2
	AlgalCoverage: Sparse
	CoralAgeEstimate: 21
	BleachingEventsPerYear: Constant
	BiodiversityIndex: Medium
	NearbyHealthyReef: Absent
	ReefMonitoringDuration: 4-6 years
	PollutionLevel: High
	ReefAverageAge: 54
	DistantStressIndicators: Confirmed
	ReefDepthZone: Mid-depth
	PreviousStressIncidents: Minor
	CoralDominantType: Encrusting
	SurveyorExperience: Yes
	RemoteSensorPresent: Yes
	InvasiveSpeciesDetected: Yes


Examples for Falsely predicted Healthy when it should have been Stressed: (Correct answer: Stressed, What the previous set of rules predicted: Healthy)
  Entity Data:
	CurrentFlowQuality: Poor
	ObservationDuration: 151
	ReefIntegrityScore: Excellent
	PredatorActivityLevel: Very Low
	AcousticIntensity: 635.1
	AlgalCoverage: Minimal
	CoralAgeEstimate: 26
	BleachingEventsPerYear: Constant
	BiodiversityIndex: High
	NearbyHealthyReef: Absent
	ReefMonitoringDuration: > 6 years
	PollutionLevel: Critical
	ReefAverageAge: 49
	DistantStressIndicators: Confirmed
	ReefDepthZone: Deep
	PreviousStressIncidents: Minor
	CoralDominantType: Encrusting
	SurveyorExperience: Yes
	RemoteSensorPresent: Yes
	InvasiveSpeciesDetected: Yes


Examples for Correctly predicted Stressed: (Correct answer: Stressed, What the previous set of rules predicted: Stressed)
  Entity Data:
	CurrentFlowQuality: Fair
	ObservationDuration: 169
	ReefIntegrityScore: Very Poor
	PredatorActivityLevel: Severe
	AcousticIntensity: 1596.5
	AlgalCoverage: Minimal
	CoralAgeEstimate: 11
	BleachingEventsPerYear: Frequent
	BiodiversityIndex: High
	NearbyHealthyReef: Absent
	ReefMonitoringDuration: > 6 years
	PollutionLevel: Critical
	ReefAverageAge: 61
	DistantStressIndicators: Confirmed
	ReefDepthZone: Shallow
	PreviousStressIncidents: None
	CoralDominantType: Encrusting
	SurveyorExperience: Yes
	RemoteSensorPresent: Yes
	InvasiveSpeciesDetected: Yes


anthropic3710

Round ID: 299
Prompt used:
	# Coral Reef Health Classification Rules
	
	Evaluate each coral reef using the following set of rules to determine if it is HEALTHY or STRESSED. Apply these rules sequentially and classify accordingly.
	
	## Rule 1: Current Flow and Integrity Assessment
	- If CurrentFlowQuality is "Poor" AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Very Poor", classify as STRESSED.
	- If CurrentFlowQuality is "Excellent" AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Excellent" or "Good", classify as HEALTHY unless contradicted by Rule 6.
	- If CurrentFlowQuality is "Poor" but ReefIntegrityScore is "Excellent", evaluate other positive factors before classification (see Rule 5).
	
	## Rule 2: Pollution and Biodiversity Assessment
	- If PollutionLevel is "Critical" AND BiodiversityIndex is "Low", classify as STRESSED.
	- If BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High", consider the reef POTENTIALLY HEALTHY (confirm with Rules 5 and 6).
	- If PollutionLevel is "Critical" or "High" but BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High" AND ReefAverageAge > 35, consider the reef POTENTIALLY HEALTHY (confirm with Rules 5 and 6).
	
	## Rule 3: Reef and Coral Age Evaluation
	- If CoralAgeEstimate ≤ 11 AND ReefAverageAge < 28, classify as STRESSED unless BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High".
	- If CoralAgeEstimate ≥ 16 AND ReefAverageAge > 35 AND BiodiversityIndex is not "Low", consider the reef POTENTIALLY HEALTHY (confirm with Rules 5 and 6).
	
	## Rule 4: Bleaching and Algal Coverage Assessment
	- If BleachingEventsPerYear is "Constant" AND AlgalCoverage is "Extensive" AND BiodiversityIndex is "Low" or "Medium", classify as STRESSED.
	- If BleachingEventsPerYear is "Constant" but BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High" AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Excellent" or "Good", this is not automatically indicative of stress (evaluate using Rules 5 and 6).
	
	## Rule 5: Positive Health Indicators
	If THREE OR MORE of the following conditions are met, classify as HEALTHY unless Rule 6 applies:
	- CurrentFlowQuality is "Excellent" or "Good"
	- BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High"
	- AlgalCoverage is "Minimal" or "Sparse"
	- ReefIntegrityScore is "Excellent" or "Good"
	- PollutionLevel is "Low" or "Moderate"
	- ReefAverageAge > 35
	- CoralAgeEstimate > 15
	
	## Rule 6: Critical Stress Indicators
	If ANY THREE of the following conditions are met, classify as STRESSED regardless of other factors:
	- AcousticIntensity > 850
	- PollutionLevel is "Critical" AND BiodiversityIndex is not "High" or "Very High"
	- CurrentFlowQuality is "Poor" AND ReefIntegrityScore is "Very Poor" or "Poor"
	- BleachingEventsPerYear is "Frequent" AND AlgalCoverage is "Extensive"
	- CoralAgeEstimate < 10 AND ReefAverageAge < 25
	
	## Rule 7: Additional Health Indicators
	If a reef meets TWO of these conditions, classify as HEALTHY unless it meets Rule 6:
	- ReefIntegrityScore is "Excellent" AND any one other positive indicator from Rule 5
	- BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High" AND ReefAverageAge > 35
	- BiodiversityIndex is "High" or "Very High" AND AlgalCoverage is "Minimal"
	
	## Default Rule
	If no clear classification has been made from the above rules:
	- If TWO OR MORE of these key indicators (BiodiversityIndex, ReefIntegrityScore, CurrentFlowQuality, PollutionLevel) are positive, AND AcousticIntensity < 600, classify as HEALTHY.
	- If TWO OR MORE of these key indicators are negative, OR AcousticIntensity > 600 AND either PollutionLevel is "High"/"Critical" or CurrentFlowQuality is "Poor", classify as STRESSED.
	- In uncertain cases where there is a balanced mix of positive and negative indicators, prioritize BiodiversityIndex and ReefIntegrityScore in the final decision.
	
	When evaluating, apply rules in sequence but prioritize Rules 5 and 6 when their conditions are conclusively met.

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Healthy    Predicted Stressed  
Actual Healthy                    48                   40
Actual Stressed                   10                   15

Accuracy: 0.558
Precision: 0.828
Recall: 0.545
F1 Score: 0.658

Examples for Correctly predicted Healthy: (Correct answer: Healthy, What the previous set of rules predicted: Healthy)
  Entity Data:
	CurrentFlowQuality: Excellent
	ObservationDuration: 115
	ReefIntegrityScore: Moderate
	PredatorActivityLevel: Moderate Low
	AcousticIntensity: 361.5
	AlgalCoverage: Minimal
	CoralAgeEstimate: 26
	BleachingEventsPerYear: Constant
	BiodiversityIndex: High
	NearbyHealthyReef: Absent
	ReefMonitoringDuration: 1-3 years
	PollutionLevel: High
	ReefAverageAge: 31
	DistantStressIndicators: Confirmed
	ReefDepthZone: Mid-depth
	PreviousStressIncidents: None
	CoralDominantType: Encrusting
	SurveyorExperience: Yes
	RemoteSensorPresent: No
	InvasiveSpeciesDetected: Yes


Examples for Falsely predicted Stressed when it should have been Healthy: (Correct answer: Healthy, What the previous set of rules predicted: Stressed)
  Entity Data:
	CurrentFlowQuality: Fair
	ObservationDuration: 79
	ReefIntegrityScore: Moderate
	PredatorActivityLevel: None
	AcousticIntensity: 353.2
	AlgalCoverage: Sparse
	CoralAgeEstimate: 21
	BleachingEventsPerYear: Occasional
	BiodiversityIndex: High
	NearbyHealthyReef: Absent
	ReefMonitoringDuration: 4-6 years
	PollutionLevel: High
	ReefAverageAge: 41
	DistantStressIndicators: None
	ReefDepthZone: Mid-depth
	PreviousStressIncidents: Minor
	CoralDominantType: Encrusting
	SurveyorExperience: Yes
	RemoteSensorPresent: Yes
	InvasiveSpeciesDetected: Yes


Examples for Falsely predicted Healthy when it should have been Stressed: (Correct answer: Stressed, What the previous set of rules predicted: Healthy)
  Entity Data:
	CurrentFlowQuality: Poor
	ObservationDuration: 55
	ReefIntegrityScore: Excellent
	PredatorActivityLevel: None
	AcousticIntensity: 264.5
	AlgalCoverage: Minimal
	CoralAgeEstimate: 26
	BleachingEventsPerYear: Occasional
	BiodiversityIndex: High
	NearbyHealthyReef: Adjacent
	ReefMonitoringDuration: > 6 years
	PollutionLevel: Moderate
	ReefAverageAge: 46
	DistantStressIndicators: Confirmed
	ReefDepthZone: Shallow
	PreviousStressIncidents: None
	CoralDominantType: Encrusting
	SurveyorExperience: Yes
	RemoteSensorPresent: Yes
	InvasiveSpeciesDetected: No


Examples for Correctly predicted Stressed: (Correct answer: Stressed, What the previous set of rules predicted: Stressed)
  Entity Data:
	CurrentFlowQuality: Poor
	ObservationDuration: 106
	ReefIntegrityScore: Excellent
	PredatorActivityLevel: Low
	AcousticIntensity: 430.1
	AlgalCoverage: Moderate
	CoralAgeEstimate: 16
	BleachingEventsPerYear: Rare
	BiodiversityIndex: Medium
	NearbyHealthyReef: Absent
	ReefMonitoringDuration: > 6 years
	PollutionLevel: High
	ReefAverageAge: 26
	DistantStressIndicators: Confirmed
	ReefDepthZone: Mid-depth
	PreviousStressIncidents: Minor
	CoralDominantType: Encrusting
	SurveyorExperience: Yes
	RemoteSensorPresent: No
	InvasiveSpeciesDetected: Yes


openai35

Round ID: 349
Prompt used:
	Given the entity data for a reef observation, predict the reef status as Healthy or Stressed based on the following rule: If Observation Duration is less than or equal to 50, Predator Activity Level is Severe, Bleaching Events Per Year is Frequent, and Reef Integrity Score is Poor or Fair, predict Stressed. Otherwise, predict Healthy.

Confusion Matrix:
                Predicted Healthy    Predicted Stressed  
Actual Healthy                    88                    0
Actual Stressed                   25                    0

Accuracy: 0.779
Precision: 0.779
Recall: 1.000
F1 Score: 0.876

Examples for Correctly predicted Healthy: (Correct answer: Healthy, What the previous set of rules predicted: Healthy)
  Entity Data:
	CurrentFlowQuality: Excellent
	ObservationDuration: 115
	ReefIntegrityScore: Moderate
	PredatorActivityLevel: Moderate Low
	AcousticIntensity: 361.5
	AlgalCoverage: Minimal
	CoralAgeEstimate: 26
	BleachingEventsPerYear: Constant
	BiodiversityIndex: High
	NearbyHealthyReef: Absent
	ReefMonitoringDuration: 1-3 years
	PollutionLevel: High
	ReefAverageAge: 31
	DistantStressIndicators: Confirmed
	ReefDepthZone: Mid-depth
	PreviousStressIncidents: None
	CoralDominantType: Encrusting
	SurveyorExperience: Yes
	RemoteSensorPresent: No
	InvasiveSpeciesDetected: Yes


Examples for Falsely predicted Healthy when it should have been Stressed: (Correct answer: Stressed, What the previous set of rules predicted: Healthy)
  Entity Data:
	CurrentFlowQuality: Poor
	ObservationDuration: 79
	ReefIntegrityScore: Very Poor
	PredatorActivityLevel: Low
	AcousticIntensity: 413.0
	AlgalCoverage: Minimal
	CoralAgeEstimate: 26
	BleachingEventsPerYear: Frequent
	BiodiversityIndex: High
	NearbyHealthyReef: Absent
	ReefMonitoringDuration: > 6 years
	PollutionLevel: Critical
	ReefAverageAge: 26
	DistantStressIndicators: None
	ReefDepthZone: Shallow
	PreviousStressIncidents: Minor
	CoralDominantType: Encrusting
	SurveyorExperience: No
	RemoteSensorPresent: No
	InvasiveSpeciesDetected: Yes


Ensemble Confusion Matrix

Predicted +Predicted -
Actual +6424
Actual -1213

Accuracy 0.681, Precision 0.842, Recall 0.727, F1 0.780