Round 337

Round UUID: d693e3c3-24a9-44a2-a6db-e81fb4563fc4

Prompt:

Based on a comprehensive analysis of the dataset, please adhere to the following refined and explicit rules to predict outcomes:

1. **Treatment Months Rule:**  
   - If 'Treatment_Months' is less than 10, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'Treatment_Months' is between 10 and 65:  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Omega', predict 'Success'.  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Omicron':  
           - Predict 'Success' only if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 8 and 'TcQ_mass' is above 70000; otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta':  
           - Predict 'Success' only if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 7 and 'TcQ_mass' is above 100000; otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Beta':  
           - Predict 'Success' only if ('Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 6 and 'TcQ_mass' is above 180000) or ('Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 5 and 'TcQ_mass' is above 150000); otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'Treatment_Months' is between 66 and 89:  
       - Predict 'Failure' if 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta' and ('Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is less than 7 or 'TcQ_mass' is below 100000).  
       - Predict 'Success' if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is between 7 and 8 and 'TcQ_mass' is above 130000; otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'Treatment_Months' is 90 or more:  
       - For 'Cohort: Melbourne', predict 'Failure' unless both 'TcQ_mass' is above 170000 and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 7.  
       - For 'Cohort: Lisbon', predict 'Failure' if 'Treatment_Months' exceeds 150 and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is less than 8.  
       - Predict 'Failure' if 'TcQ_mass' is below 90000; otherwise, predict 'Success' if 'TcQ_mass' is above 90000 and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 8.  

2. **TcQ_mass Criteria:**  
   - If 'TcQ_mass' is below 90000, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'TcQ_mass' is between 90000 and 160000, predict 'Success' only if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 9; otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'TcQ_mass' is above 160000, predict 'Success' only if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 8 and 'Treatment_Months' is below 180; otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  

3. **Genetic Class Match Rule:**  
   - If 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is 10 or more, predict 'Success'.  
   - If 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is between 7 and 9, predict 'Success' only if 'TcQ_mass' is above 100000; otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is less than 6, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is between 5 and 6:  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta', predict 'Failure' unless 'TcQ_mass' is above 90000.  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Beta', predict 'Success' only if 'TcQ_mass' is above 130000; otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  
       - Otherwise, predict 'Failure' if 'TcQ_mass' does not exceed the cohort average; otherwise, predict 'Success'.  

4. **Cohort Influence:**  
   - For 'Cohort: Melbourne', predict 'Failure' unless 'TcQ_mass' is over 170000 and 'Treatment_Months' is below 180.  
   - For 'Cohort: Delhi', predict 'Failure' if 'Treatment_Months' exceeds 120 and 'TcQ_mass' is below 90000.  
   - For 'Cohort: Lisbon', predict 'Success' only if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 8 and 'TcQ_mass' is above 140000.  

5. **Conditional Rule Adjustments:**  
   - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Beta' and 'TcQ_mass' is above 600000, predict 'Success'.  
   - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Omicron' and 'Treatment_Months' is 80 or more, predict 'Failure' unless 'TcQ_mass' is above 160000 and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 7.  
   - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Omicron' and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is less than 7, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta' and 'TcQ_mass' is above 100000, predict 'Success' only if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is 9 or more; otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta' and 'Treatment_Months' is less than 15, predict 'Failure' regardless of values.  

6. **Fallback Condition:**  
   - If no other rules apply, predict 'Failure' to minimize false positives.

• Inferences: 891
• Created: 2025-08-03 15:23:13.926759+00:00
• First inference: 2025-08-03 15:23:46.444482+00:00
• Last inference: 2025-08-03 15:53:41.426252+00:00
• Completed: yes
• Train accuracy: 0.6095505617977528 (KT 0.215)
• Validation accuracy: 0.6470588235294118 (KT 0.189)
• Test accuracy: 0.5490196078431373 (KT 0.260)