Round 201

Round UUID: b316b07a-f2a4-470c-8d00-7b9fcd2c1f12

Prompt:

Based on a comprehensive evaluation of the dataset, please follow these explicit and detailed rules to predict the outcome:

1. **Treatment Months Rule:**  
   - If 'Treatment_Months' is less than 10, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'Treatment_Months' is between 10 and 65:  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Omega', predict 'Success'.  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Omicron':  
           - Predict 'Success' if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 7 and 'TcQ_mass' is above 40000; otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta':  
           - Predict 'Success' only if 'TcQ_mass' is above 65000 and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 6.  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Beta':  
           - Predict 'Success' if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 7 and 'TcQ_mass' exceeds 220000; otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'Treatment_Months' is between 66 and 89:  
       - Predict 'Failure' if 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta' or if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is less than 6.  
       - If 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is 6 or more, predict 'Success'.  
   - If 'Treatment_Months' is 90 or more:  
       - For 'Cohort: Melbourne', predict 'Failure' unless 'TcQ_mass' is above 75000 and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 6.  
       - For 'Cohort: Lisbon', predict 'Failure' if 'Treatment_Months' is greater than 150.  
       - Predict 'Failure' if 'TcQ_mass' is below 25000, regardless of cohort.  
       - Predict 'Success' if 'TcQ_mass' is at least 25000 and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 7.  

2. **TcQ_mass Criteria:**  
   - If 'TcQ_mass' is below 25000, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'TcQ_mass' is between 25000 and 55000 and 'Treatment_Months' is over 80, predict 'Success' only if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 7.  
   - If 'TcQ_mass' is 55000 or more, predict 'Success' if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 7; otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'TcQ_mass' is above 220000, predict 'Success' only if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 6.  

3. **Genetic Class Match Rule:**  
   - If 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is 7 or more, predict 'Success'.  
   - If 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is less than 4, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is between 4 and 6:  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta', predict 'Failure'.  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Beta', predict 'Success' only if 'TcQ_mass' is above 270000; otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  
       - If not, predict 'Success' if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is 5 or more and 'TcQ_mass' exceeds average for the cohort; otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  

4. **Cohort Influence:**  
   - For 'Cohort: Melbourne', predict 'Failure' unless 'TcQ_mass' is over 75000 and 'Treatment_Months' is below 150.  
   - For 'Cohort: Delhi', predict 'Failure' if 'Treatment_Months' exceeds 110 and 'TcQ_mass' is below 35000.  
   - For 'Cohort: Lisbon', predict 'Success' only if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is 7 or more and 'TcQ_mass' is above 75000.  

5. **Conditional Rule Adjustments:**  
   - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Beta' and 'TcQ_mass' is above 220000, predict 'Success'.  
   - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Omicron' and 'Treatment_Months' is 80 or more, predict 'Failure' unless 'TcQ_mass' is above 65000 and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 7.  
   - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Omicron' and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is less than 6, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta' and 'TcQ_mass' is above 35000, predict 'Success' only if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is 6 or more.  

6. **Fallback Condition:**  
   - If no other rules apply, predict 'Failure' to reduce false positives.

• Inferences: 891
• Created: 2025-07-17 18:56:10.510092+00:00
• First inference: 2025-07-17 18:56:36.037413+00:00
• Last inference: 2025-07-17 19:15:03.852635+00:00
• Completed: yes
• Train accuracy: 0.598314606741573 (KT 0.223)
• Validation accuracy: 0.6470588235294118 (KT 0.189)
• Test accuracy: 0.5490196078431373 (KT 0.260)