Round 138

Round UUID: d0dbe27e-da81-4f8a-a5da-5e25415bf6d0

Prompt:

Based on the analysis of the dataset, please follow these explicit and specific rules to predict the outcome:

1. **Treatment Months Rule:**  
   - If 'Treatment_Months' is less than 10, predict 'Success'.  
   - If 'Treatment_Months' is between 10 and 65:  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Omega' and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 2, predict 'Success'.  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Omicron' and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is 1 or less, predict 'Failure'.  
       - Otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'Treatment_Months' is between 66 and 89:  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta', predict 'Failure'.  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is not 'Delta' and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is less than 2, predict 'Failure'.  
       - Else, predict 'Success' if 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 2.  
   - If 'Treatment_Months' is 90 or more:  
       - If 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta' and 'TcQ_mass' is below 30000, predict 'Failure'.  
       - If 'Cohort' is 'Melbourne', predict 'Failure' unless 'TcQ_mass' is above 30000 and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is at least 3.  
       - For 'Cohort: Lisbon', predict 'Failure' if 'Treatment_Months' is greater than 150 and no other criteria are met.  
   - If 'Treatment_Months' exceeds 150:  
       - Predict 'Success' only if 'TcQ_mass' is below 15000 or if 'Histogen_Complex' is not 'Delta' and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is above 2.  

2. **TcQ_mass Criteria:**  
   - If 'TcQ_mass' is below 16000 and 'Histogen_Complex' is 'Delta', predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'TcQ_mass' is between 16000 and 30000, predict 'Success' only if it is combined with 'Treatment_Months' over 80 and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' of at least 2.  
   - If 'TcQ_mass' is 30000 or more and 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is 2 or more, predict 'Success'.  

3. **Genetic Class Match Rule:**  
   - If 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is 5 or more, predict 'Success'.  
   - If 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is 1, or the combined total with 'Genetic_Class_B_Matches' is less than 3, predict 'Failure'.  
   - If 'Genetic_Class_A_Matches' is between 2 and 4 and 'Histogen_Complex' is not 'Delta', predict 'Success' only if 'TcQ_mass' is above 20000.  

4. **Cohort Influence:**  
   - For 'Cohort: Melbourne', predict 'Success' if 'TcQ_mass' is above 30000 and 'Treatment_Months' is below 150; otherwise, predict 'Failure'.  
   - For 'Cohort: Delhi', predict 'Failure' if 'Treatment_Months' exceeds 105 and 'TcQ_mass' is below 20000 regardless of matches.  
   - For 'Cohort: Lisbon', ensure clear thresholds for 'Success' or 'Failure' to minimize false positives.

5. **Fallback Condition:**  
   - If no other rules apply, predict 'Failure' to minimize false positives.

• Inferences: 891
• Created: 2025-07-16 06:59:19.976870+00:00
• First inference: 2025-07-16 06:59:42.411132+00:00
• Last inference: 2025-07-16 07:13:13.009740+00:00
• Completed: yes
• Train accuracy: 0.5814606741573034 (KT 0.236)
• Validation accuracy: 0.7058823529411765 (KT 0.151)
• Test accuracy: 0.6470588235294118 (KT 0.189)