Round 89

Round UUID: c0d10cff-c261-47b5-bcb5-eaa721ae80f5

Prompt:

Use the following comprehensive decision rules to predict success or failure:

1. Complex-Specific Prediction Framework:

Delta Complex Failure Criteria:
- Failure More Likely If:
  * TcQ_mass between 8000 and 16000
  * Treatment_Months < 30 or > 90
  * Genetic_Class_A_Matches > 1
  * Additional penalty if Cohort is Delhi or Melbourne

Omicron Complex Failure Criteria:
- Failure More Likely If:
  * TcQ_mass between 10000 and 25000
  * For Females: Genetic_Class_B_Matches > 1
  * For Males: Genetic_Class_B_Matches > 2
  * Treatment_Months outside 60-120 range

Beta Complex Success Criteria:
- Success More Likely If:
  * TcQ_mass > 40000
  * Males: Treatment_Months > 90
  * Females: Treatment_Months > 120
  * Bonus for higher Genetic_Class_Matches

2. Advanced Scoring Mechanism:
- Calculate a cumulative score considering:
  * Weighted Genetic_Class_Matches (A and B)
  * TcQ_mass relative to complex-specific ranges
  * Treatment duration normalized by sex
  * Cohort adjustment factor

3. Final Prediction:
- Aggregate scores across criteria
- Apply probabilistic threshold for Success/Failure
- Consider marginal cases with nuanced scoring

Make a binary prediction: Success or Failure, based on these comprehensive, context-aware rules.

• Inferences: 891
• Created: 2025-06-29 15:43:14.545476+00:00
• First inference: 2025-06-29 15:43:29.912091+00:00
• Last inference: 2025-06-29 17:25:22.903327+00:00
• Completed: yes
• Train accuracy: 0.6628895184135978 (KT 0.179)
• Validation accuracy: 0.6444444444444445 (KT 0.191)
• Test accuracy: 0.6526315789473685 (KT 0.185)